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Iowa Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Kinnick Stadium • Iowa City • IA

Big TenKinnick Stadium
Team games analyzed
152
Neutral avg points
26.7
Adverse avg points
26.8
Weather delta
0.1

Weather context

Iowa performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Iowagames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 152 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 26.7 points and an adverse-weather average of 26.8 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2018 vs Illinois: 36.3 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2023 vs Penn State: -26.7 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
201812Cold63.036.3Illinois37.9F11.4 mph0.0 inNo
201713Windy56.029.3Nebraska68.9F25.3 mph0.0 inNo
202010Windy49.022.3Michigan State66.0F16.7 mph0.0 inNo
20186Cold48.021.3Minnesota44.4F8.8 mph0.0 inNo
201410Cold48.021.3Northwestern35.1F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
20176Wet45.018.3Illinois69.1F12.7 mph0.0 inNo
20187Cold42.015.3Indiana43.0F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
20162Windy42.015.3Iowa State72.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20233Wet41.014.3Western Michigan74.8F7.0 mph0.2 inNo
202514Cold40.013.3Nebraska26.8F10.6 mph0.0 inNo
201613Cold40.013.3Nebraska43.0F12.7 mph0.0 inNo
20157Cold40.013.3Northwestern44.1F9.2 mph0.0 inNo
201512Windy40.013.3Purdue27.0F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
20191Wet38.011.3Miami (OH)67.6F6.8 mph0.0 inNo
201311Windy38.011.3Purdue55.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201314Windy38.011.3Nebraska34.2F17.2 mph0.0 inYes
202011Windy35.08.3Minnesota33.6F15.2 mph0.0 inNo
202014Cold35.08.3Illinois44.1F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
201414Cold34.07.3Nebraska25.0F12.7 mph0.0 inYes
20173Windy31.04.3North Texas91.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
201412Cold30.03.3Illinois32.0F10.3 mph0.0 inNo
202413Windy29.02.3Maryland52.9F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
202015Cold28.01.3Wisconsin32.0F14.0 mph0.0 inYes
201612Windy28.01.3Illinois36.0F21.9 mph0.0 inNo
201513Windy28.01.3Nebraska22.8F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
20132Windy28.01.3Missouri State82.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
202111Cold27.00.3Minnesota35.4F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
201914Cold27.00.3Nebraska33.8F9.2 mph0.0 inNo
202013Cold26.0-0.7Nebraska39.6F9.5 mph0.0 inNo
202210Wet24.0-2.7Purdue64.2F18.6 mph0.1 inYes
202211Cold24.0-2.7Wisconsin31.8F12.4 mph0.0 in
20214Windy24.0-2.7Colorado State73.2F17.4 mph0.0 inNo
20189Wet24.0-2.7Penn State41.9F9.6 mph0.0 inNo
20144Windy24.0-2.7Pittsburgh72.0F15.0 mph0.0 inYes
20138Wet24.0-2.7Ohio State46.0F13.9 mph0.0 inNo
201313Windy24.0-2.7Michigan19.0F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
201912Cold23.0-3.7Minnesota45.0F12.6 mph0.0 inNo
20188Windy23.0-3.7Maryland48.7F30.0 mph0.0 inNo
20135Wet23.0-3.7Minnesota55.9F11.4 mph0.0 inYes
201911Cold22.0-4.7Wisconsin42.1F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
202512Wet21.0-5.7USC60.8F12.1 mph0.3 inNo
20209Windy20.0-6.7Northwestern63.1F23.2 mph0.0 inNo
201913Cold19.0-7.7Illinois36.9F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
20193Wet18.0-8.7Iowa State66.4F12.7 mph0.0 inNo
20179Cold17.0-9.7Minnesota39.0F9.2 mph0.0 inNo
20139Windy17.0-9.7Northwestern46.9F20.8 mph0.0 inNo
202511Wet16.0-10.7Oregon42.6F5.6 mph0.0 inNo
201712Windy15.0-11.7Purdue44.1F16.1 mph0.0 inYes
201711Cold14.0-12.7Wisconsin34.0F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
20166Cold14.0-12.7Minnesota43.0F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
201611Cold14.0-12.7Michigan39.9F0.0 mph0.0 inYes
201411Windy14.0-12.7Minnesota37.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
202414Cold13.0-13.7Nebraska15.8F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
202313Cold13.0-13.7Nebraska28.6F12.4 mph0.0 inYes
202212Windy13.0-13.7Minnesota16.0F16.2 mph0.0 inYes
20238Windy10.0-16.7Minnesota67.8F20.8 mph0.0 inYes
201811Cold10.0-16.7Northwestern25.9F9.5 mph0.0 inYes
20155Windy10.0-16.7Wisconsin53.1F25.3 mph0.0 inYes
201310Windy9.0-17.7Wisconsin46.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
20217Windy7.0-19.7Purdue62.4F16.2 mph0.0 inYes
20234Wet0.0-26.7Penn State54.0F11.8 mph0.0 inNo

Quick Answers

Iowa weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

0.14

Games in scope
152
Neutral avg points
26.69
Adverse avg points
26.84
Top outlier
Cold (36.31)