Where does the data for this page come from?
This page uses CFBTrack curated college football datasets; Synchronized CFBD team, game, roster, and stat feeds where available.
Advanced Metrics
Expected Points Added in College Football
EPA
In college football, Expected Points Added means: EPA estimates how much a play changed a team's expected points. EPA gives more context than raw yards because a five-yard gain on 3rd and 4 is more valuable than a five-yard gain on 3rd and 15.
Definition
Expected Points Added measures the change in expected points before and after a play based on context such as down, distance, yard line, score, time, and possession.
Formula
Expected points after the play - expected points before the play
Example
If a team had 1.4 expected points before a play and 3.1 after it, the play added 1.7 EPA.
Why It Matters
EPA gives more context than raw yards because a five-yard gain on 3rd and 4 is more valuable than a five-yard gain on 3rd and 15.
How CFB Track Uses It
CFB Track uses glossary definitions like Expected Points Added to make stat pages, rankings, schedules, and player research easier to read without leaving the site context.
Caveats
- EPA models can vary by data source.
- Garbage time and opponent strength can affect interpretation.
Related Glossary Terms
EPA Per PlayTotal EPA divided by total plays.Success RateThe percentage of plays that gain enough yardage based on down and distance.Win Probability AddedHow much a play changes a team's chance to win.Adjusted EfficiencyAn efficiency metric modified for context such as opponent strength, game location, tempo, garbage time, or game state.Adjusted Yards Per AttemptA passing efficiency stat that adjusts yards per attempt for touchdowns and interceptions.Air YardsThe yards a pass travels from the line of scrimmage to the catch point or target point.
Related CFB Track Pages
Last reviewed 2026-04-24