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Louisville Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium • Louisville • KY

ACCL&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Team games analyzed
148
Neutral avg points
32.8
Adverse avg points
31.1
Weather delta
-1.6

Weather context

Louisville performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Louisvillegames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 148 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 32.8 points and an adverse-weather average of 31.1 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2017 vs Syracuse: 23.2 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2020 vs Notre Dame: -25.8 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
201913Cold56.023.2Syracuse40.6F10.9 mph0.0 inNo
201712Wet56.023.2Syracuse66.0F18.3 mph0.1 inNo
201414Windy44.011.2Kentucky54.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
202514Cold41.08.2Kentucky37.6F6.8 mph0.0 inYes
202414Cold41.08.2Kentucky33.8F10.3 mph0.0 inNo
20224Wet41.08.2South Florida73.6F13.7 mph0.0 inNo
202111Cold41.08.2Syracuse41.2F11.8 mph0.0 inNo
201613Cold38.05.2Kentucky45.0F3.4 mph0.0 inYes
201411Cold38.05.2Boston College39.0F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
202413Cold37.04.2Pittsburgh43.0F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
20202Wet35.02.2Western Kentucky74.8F4.1 mph0.1 inNo
202210Windy34.01.2James Madison69.3F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
201912Windy34.01.2NC State43.0F15.8 mph0.0 inNo
201512Windy34.01.2Pittsburgh55.9F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
20225Wet33.00.2Boston College55.6F10.3 mph0.1 inYes
20182Wet31.0-1.8Indiana State70.5F9.8 mph0.1 in
201413Cold31.0-1.8Notre Dame45.0F11.4 mph0.0 inYes
201311Windy31.0-1.8UConn41.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
201315Wet31.0-1.8Cincinnati37.0F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
20199Wet28.0-4.8Virginia62.4F13.0 mph0.0 inYes
20206Wet27.0-5.8Georgia Tech64.9F6.8 mph0.0 inYes
202013Wet27.0-5.8Boston College47.7F8.4 mph0.0 inNo
201911Wet27.0-5.8Miami70.9F8.5 mph0.0 inNo
202212Windy25.0-7.8NC State37.6F18.6 mph0.0 inNo
20194Windy24.0-8.8Florida State88.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
201313Cold24.0-8.8Memphis43.0F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
20143Wet21.0-11.8Virginia64.0F3.4 mph0.0 inYes
20187Wet20.0-12.8Boston College46.9F6.5 mph0.0 inNo
202211Wet16.0-16.8Clemson64.8F12.7 mph0.0 inNo
201914Wet13.0-19.8Kentucky43.3F6.9 mph0.2 inNo
201812Cold10.0-22.8NC State38.7F6.2 mph0.0 inNo
20207Windy7.0-25.8Notre Dame58.5F18.2 mph0.0 inNo

Quick Answers

Louisville weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-1.64

Games in scope
148
Neutral avg points
32.77
Adverse avg points
31.13
Top outlier
Windy (-25.77)