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Kentucky Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Kroger Field • Lexington • KY

SECKroger Field
Team games analyzed
152
Neutral avg points
25.4
Adverse avg points
27.6
Weather delta
2.2

Weather context

Kentucky performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Kentuckygames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 152 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 25.4 points and an adverse-weather average of 27.6 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2016 vs New Mexico State: 36.6 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2019 vs Georgia: -25.4 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
20163Wet62.036.6New Mexico State70.0F5.8 mph0.1 inNo
201512Windy58.032.6Charlotte41.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
201913Wet50.024.6UT Martin49.5F7.7 mph0.0 inNo
201612Windy49.023.6Austin Peay42.1F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201914Wet45.019.6Louisville43.3F6.9 mph0.2 inNo
202512Windy42.016.6Tennessee Tech71.4F23.0 mph0.0 inNo
202110Cold42.016.6Tennessee44.4F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
20244Wet41.015.6Ohio86.9F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
202014Cold41.015.6South Carolina35.6F0.9 mph0.0 inNo
201613Cold41.015.6Louisville45.0F3.4 mph0.0 inYes
201414Windy40.014.6Louisville54.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
202111Cold34.08.6Vanderbilt39.0F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
201812Cold34.08.6Middle Tennessee40.8F3.1 mph0.0 inNo
201411Windy31.05.6Georgia52.0F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
20199Wet29.03.6Missouri66.6F11.4 mph0.0 inYes
20179Cold29.03.6Tennessee39.0F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
20184Wet28.02.6Mississippi State63.1F5.9 mph0.1 inYes
20222Wet26.00.6Florida75.2F3.7 mph0.0 inYes
202210Windy21.0-4.4Missouri44.8F19.7 mph0.0 inYes
202211Wet21.0-4.4Vanderbilt33.6F11.8 mph0.0 inYes
20159Windy21.0-4.4Tennessee60.1F20.8 mph0.0 inNo
20166Windy20.0-5.4Vanderbilt71.1F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
20142Windy20.0-5.4Ohio86.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
201311Windy17.0-8.4Missouri57.9F20.8 mph0.0 inNo
201412Cold16.0-9.4Tennessee43.3F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
202414Cold14.0-11.4Louisville33.8F10.3 mph0.0 inNo
20188Windy14.0-11.4Vanderbilt57.2F16.0 mph0.0 inNo
201314Cold14.0-11.4Tennessee45.0F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
20255Wet13.0-12.4South Carolina77.0F6.8 mph0.0 inNo
201911Cold13.0-12.4Tennessee43.7F5.5 mph0.0 inYes
201811Cold7.0-18.4Tennessee43.9F7.5 mph0.0 inYes
202212Windy6.0-19.4Georgia36.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
202514Cold0.0-25.4Louisville37.6F6.8 mph0.0 inYes
20198Wet0.0-25.4Georgia52.7F13.7 mph0.1 inNo

Quick Answers

Kentucky weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

2.19

Games in scope
152
Neutral avg points
25.43
Adverse avg points
27.62
Top outlier
Wet (36.57)