Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Mountain America Stadium • Tempe • AZ
Weather context
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Arizona Stategames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 146 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 30.7 points and an adverse-weather average of 30.7 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2014 vs New Mexico: 27.3 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2019 vs Utah: -27.7 points vs neutral baseline
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2 | Windy | 58.0 | 27.3 | New Mexico | 79.0F | 24.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 12 | Windy | 52.0 | 21.3 | Arizona | 79.0F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 16 | Wet | 46.0 | 15.3 | Oregon State | 51.3F | 17.3 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2015 | 13 | Cold | 46.0 | 15.3 | California | 42.6F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 3 | Wet | 45.0 | 14.3 | Texas Tech | 68.2F | 8.1 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2025 | 13 | Cold | 42.0 | 11.3 | Colorado | 44.4F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 10 | Windy | 42.0 | 11.3 | Oklahoma State | 69.4F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 12 | Cold | 40.0 | 9.3 | Oregon State | 39.0F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 11 | Wet | 35.0 | 4.3 | Washington | 48.2F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 13 | Windy | 35.0 | 4.3 | Arizona | 68.0F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2013 | 4 | Wet | 28.0 | -2.7 | Stanford | 66.0F | 4.7 mph | 0.2 in | No |
| 2025 | 5 | Windy | 27.0 | -3.7 | TCU | 71.4F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 10 | Wet | 27.0 | -3.7 | USC | 54.3F | 9.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 12 | Cold | 27.0 | -3.7 | Oregon State | 33.8F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 5 | Windy | 24.0 | -6.7 | California | 58.6F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 10 | Windy | 24.0 | -6.7 | Washington State | 50.0F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 9 | Wet | 24.0 | -6.7 | Washington | 60.1F | 13.9 mph | 0.2 in | No |
| 2024 | 4 | Windy | 22.0 | -8.7 | Texas Tech | 89.2F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 4 | Wet | 20.0 | -10.7 | Washington | 56.3F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 11 | Cold | 18.0 | -12.7 | Washington State | 33.8F | 10.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 7 | Windy | 10.0 | -20.7 | Utah | 43.3F | 25.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 12 | Cold | 10.0 | -20.7 | Oregon State | 35.8F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 8 | Wet | 3.0 | -27.7 | Utah | 49.1F | 13.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
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Arizona State weather quick answers
Seasons
2,013-2,025
Weather delta
-0.04