Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
Notre Dame Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Notre Dame Stadium • Notre Dame • IN
FBS IndependentsNotre Dame Stadium
Team games analyzed
149
Neutral avg points
36.1
Adverse avg points
32.3
Weather delta
-3.8
Weather context
Notre Dame performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Notre Damegames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 149 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 36.1 points and an adverse-weather average of 32.3 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2019 vs Navy: 15.9 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2016 vs NC State: -33.1 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 12 | Cold | 52.0 | 15.9 | Navy | 36.5F | 7.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 9 | Windy | 51.0 | 14.9 | Navy | 64.0F | 17.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 11 | Cold | 49.0 | 12.9 | Navy | 39.4F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 7 | Wet | 49.0 | 12.9 | Stanford | 71.2F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 10 | Windy | 49.0 | 12.9 | Navy | 48.7F | 23.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 10 | Wet | 48.0 | 11.9 | Wake Forest | 43.0F | 9.2 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2014 | 1 | Windy | 48.0 | 11.9 | Rice | 82.0F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 14 | Cold | 45.0 | 8.9 | Syracuse | 35.6F | 9.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 14 | Wet | 45.0 | 8.9 | Stanford | 48.9F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 8 | Windy | 44.0 | 7.9 | UNLV | 77.2F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Cold | 44.0 | 7.9 | Boston College | 25.0F | 14.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 11 | Cold | 42.0 | 5.9 | Florida State | 27.3F | 5.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 4 | Windy | 41.0 | 4.9 | Wisconsin | 66.4F | 17.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 7 | Cold | 41.0 | 4.9 | USC | 39.9F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 13 | Cold | 40.0 | 3.9 | Boston College | 33.8F | 6.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 12 | Cold | 40.0 | 3.9 | Northwestern | 28.9F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 2 | Wet | 39.0 | 2.9 | Nevada | 68.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 11 | Cold | 38.0 | 1.9 | Duke | 36.1F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 10 | Wet | 38.0 | 1.9 | Navy | 45.0F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 12 | Windy | 35.0 | -1.1 | Virginia | 51.3F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 10 | Windy | 35.0 | -1.1 | Clemson | 52.2F | 27.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 5 | Wet | 35.0 | -1.1 | Virginia | 68.5F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 9 | Cold | 35.0 | -1.1 | NC State | 39.2F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 8 | Wet | 34.0 | -2.1 | USC | 64.6F | 10.9 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2021 | 8 | Cold | 31.0 | -5.1 | USC | 41.2F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 12 | Windy | 31.0 | -5.1 | Virginia Tech | 30.2F | 25.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 3 | Windy | 30.0 | -6.1 | Georgia Tech | 63.0F | 19.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 11 | Cold | 28.0 | -8.1 | Virginia | 37.8F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 13 | Cold | 28.0 | -8.1 | Louisville | 45.0F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2013 | 1 | Wet | 28.0 | -8.1 | Temple | 73.9F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 3 | Wet | 27.0 | -9.1 | Purdue | 84.4F | 6.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 10 | Windy | 27.0 | -9.1 | Navy | 71.1F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 10 | Windy | 25.0 | -11.1 | Boston College | 55.0F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 3 | Windy | 24.0 | -12.1 | California | 85.1F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 12 | Wet | 24.0 | -12.1 | Navy | 41.0F | 19.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 13 | Windy | 23.0 | -13.1 | BYU | 26.1F | 19.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 5 | Wet | 22.0 | -14.1 | Clemson | 64.8F | 9.2 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2019 | 10 | Cold | 21.0 | -15.1 | Virginia Tech | 41.4F | 13.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 12 | Cold | 19.0 | -17.1 | Boston College | 39.9F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 6 | Wet | 17.0 | -19.1 | Stanford | 39.9F | 13.9 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 2 | Windy | 14.0 | -22.1 | Northern Illinois | 64.6F | 18.6 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 9 | Wet | 14.0 | -22.1 | Michigan | 51.1F | 13.2 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2021 | 5 | Wet | 13.0 | -23.1 | Cincinnati | 73.6F | 9.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 7 | Windy | 12.0 | -24.1 | Louisville | 58.5F | 18.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 11 | Windy | 8.0 | -28.1 | Miami | 79.0F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 6 | Wet | 3.0 | -33.1 | NC State | 69.1F | 21.9 mph | 0.5 in | Yes |
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