Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Razorback Stadium • Fayetteville • AR
Weather context
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Arkansasgames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 136 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 29.8 points and an adverse-weather average of 26.4 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2015 vs Mississippi State: 20.2 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2018 vs Missouri: -29.8 points vs neutral baseline
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 12 | Cold | 50.0 | 20.2 | Mississippi State | 36.0F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 8 | Windy | 45.0 | 15.2 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 76.8F | 18.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 13 | Windy | 45.0 | 15.2 | Missouri | 69.1F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 8 | Wet | 42.0 | 12.2 | Texas A&M | 70.2F | 17.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Cold | 42.0 | 12.2 | Ole Miss | 26.4F | 6.5 mph | 0.0 in | — |
| 2017 | 10 | Windy | 39.0 | 9.2 | Coastal Carolina | 77.0F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 9 | Cold | 38.0 | 8.2 | Ole Miss | 44.4F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 7 | Windy | 34.0 | 4.2 | Ole Miss | 77.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 7 | Windy | 33.0 | 3.2 | Ole Miss | 68.9F | 20.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 7 | Wet | 33.0 | 3.2 | Ole Miss | 56.8F | 8.1 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2013 | 5 | Wet | 33.0 | 3.2 | Texas A&M | 71.1F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 6 | Wet | 31.0 | 1.2 | Alabama | 76.6F | 11.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 13 | Wet | 30.0 | 0.2 | Ole Miss | 52.0F | 7.0 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 13 | Wet | 28.0 | -1.8 | Missouri | 39.9F | 4.7 mph | 0.2 in | No |
| 2016 | 13 | Cold | 24.0 | -5.8 | Missouri | 42.1F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 5 | Wet | 24.0 | -5.8 | Tennessee | 60.4F | 9.2 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 7 | Windy | 23.0 | -6.8 | Auburn | 62.4F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 14 | Wet | 21.0 | -8.8 | Missouri | 30.7F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 12 | Wet | 21.0 | -8.8 | Mississippi State | 48.9F | 24.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 14 | Windy | 17.0 | -12.8 | Missouri | 48.0F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 11 | Cold | 17.0 | -12.8 | LSU | 41.0F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 12 | Cold | 17.0 | -12.8 | LSU | 34.0F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 7 | Wet | 13.0 | -16.8 | Alabama | 54.0F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 11 | Cold | 10.0 | -19.8 | LSU | 37.8F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 15 | Cold | 3.0 | -26.8 | Alabama | 39.0F | 10.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 5 | Wet | 0.0 | -29.8 | Georgia | 77.7F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 13 | Wet | 0.0 | -29.8 | Missouri | 45.1F | 13.7 mph | 0.1 in | No |
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Arkansas weather quick answers
Seasons
2,013-2,025
Weather delta
-3.41