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Weather

Arkansas Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Razorback Stadium • Fayetteville • AR

SECRazorback Stadium
Team games analyzed
136
Neutral avg points
29.8
Adverse avg points
26.4
Weather delta
-3.4

Weather context

Arkansas performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Arkansasgames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 136 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 29.8 points and an adverse-weather average of 26.4 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2015 vs Mississippi State: 20.2 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2018 vs Missouri: -29.8 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
201512Cold50.020.2Mississippi State36.0F3.4 mph0.0 inYes
20218Windy45.015.2Arkansas-Pine Bluff76.8F18.6 mph0.0 inNo
201713Windy45.015.2Missouri69.1F20.8 mph0.0 inNo
20258Wet42.012.2Texas A&M70.2F17.5 mph0.0 inNo
202212Cold42.012.2Ole Miss26.4F6.5 mph0.0 in
201710Windy39.09.2Coastal Carolina77.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
20179Cold38.08.2Ole Miss44.4F9.2 mph0.0 inYes
20167Windy34.04.2Ole Miss77.0F15.0 mph0.0 inYes
20207Windy33.03.2Ole Miss68.9F20.5 mph0.0 inNo
20187Wet33.03.2Ole Miss56.8F8.1 mph0.1 inNo
20135Wet33.03.2Texas A&M71.1F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
20186Wet31.01.2Alabama76.6F11.1 mph0.0 inNo
201413Wet30.00.2Ole Miss52.0F7.0 mph0.1 inYes
201513Wet28.0-1.8Missouri39.9F4.7 mph0.2 inNo
201613Cold24.0-5.8Missouri42.1F10.3 mph0.0 inYes
20155Wet24.0-5.8Tennessee60.4F9.2 mph0.1 inYes
20217Windy23.0-6.8Auburn62.4F16.2 mph0.0 inYes
202414Wet21.0-8.8Missouri30.7F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
201712Wet21.0-8.8Mississippi State48.9F24.2 mph0.0 inNo
202514Windy17.0-12.8Missouri48.0F16.2 mph0.0 inNo
201811Cold17.0-12.8LSU41.0F9.2 mph0.0 inNo
201412Cold17.0-12.8LSU34.0F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
20147Wet13.0-16.8Alabama54.0F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
202211Cold10.0-19.8LSU37.8F10.3 mph0.0 inNo
202015Cold3.0-26.8Alabama39.0F10.7 mph0.0 inNo
20215Wet0.0-29.8Georgia77.7F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
201813Wet0.0-29.8Missouri45.1F13.7 mph0.1 inNo

Quick Answers

Arkansas weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-3.41

Games in scope
136
Neutral avg points
29.82
Adverse avg points
26.41
Top outlier
Wet (-29.82)