Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
Iowa State Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Jack Trice Stadium • Ames • IA
Big 12Jack Trice Stadium
Team games analyzed
153
Neutral avg points
27.2
Adverse avg points
28.9
Weather delta
1.8
Weather context
Iowa State performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Iowa Stategames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 153 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 27.2 points and an adverse-weather average of 28.9 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2016 vs Texas Tech: 38.8 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2014 vs TCU: -24.2 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 12 | Windy | 66.0 | 38.8 | Texas Tech | 39.0F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 9 | Windy | 52.0 | 24.8 | Kansas | 59.5F | 19.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 6 | Wet | 49.0 | 21.8 | TCU | 57.7F | 8.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 13 | Cold | 48.0 | 20.8 | TCU | 39.4F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 11 | Cold | 45.0 | 17.8 | BYU | 38.8F | 5.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 12 | Cold | 45.0 | 17.8 | Kansas State | 42.6F | 5.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 7 | Wet | 45.0 | 17.8 | Kansas | 57.9F | 4.7 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2023 | 13 | Wet | 42.0 | 14.8 | Kansas State | 26.6F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2018 | 13 | Cold | 42.0 | 14.8 | Kansas State | 39.6F | 9.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 11 | Cold | 42.0 | 14.8 | Oklahoma State | 39.9F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 13 | Cold | 41.0 | 13.8 | Kansas | 37.4F | 14.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 13 | Windy | 38.0 | 10.8 | Kansas | 55.6F | 17.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 11 | Windy | 38.0 | 10.8 | Texas Tech | 71.8F | 23.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2017 | 6 | Wet | 38.0 | 10.8 | Oklahoma | 68.0F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 12 | Cold | 35.0 | 7.8 | Kansas State | 37.0F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 4 | Windy | 34.0 | 6.8 | Oklahoma State | 79.2F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 8 | Windy | 34.0 | 6.8 | Texas Tech | 62.1F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 13 | Cold | 34.0 | 6.8 | Kansas | 9.0F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 13 | Windy | 31.0 | 3.8 | Utah | 45.0F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 9 | Wet | 31.0 | 3.8 | West Virginia | 55.9F | 3.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 6 | Windy | 31.0 | 3.8 | Texas Tech | 76.1F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 11 | Windy | 31.0 | 3.8 | Oklahoma State | 59.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 13 | Windy | 31.0 | 3.8 | Texas Tech | 51.1F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2023 | 7 | Windy | 30.0 | 2.8 | Cincinnati | 61.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2023 | 9 | Wet | 30.0 | 2.8 | Baylor | 72.1F | 6.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 14 | Cold | 29.0 | 1.8 | Kansas State | 16.2F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 11 | Cold | 28.0 | 0.8 | Baylor | 23.9F | 13.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 10 | Windy | 27.0 | -0.2 | Kansas | 53.1F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 14 | Wet | 27.0 | -0.2 | Drake | 35.2F | 14.1 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2015 | 8 | Wet | 27.0 | -0.2 | Baylor | 66.0F | 13.9 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2013 | 9 | Windy | 27.0 | -0.2 | Oklahoma State | 43.0F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 14 | Cold | 24.0 | -3.2 | West Virginia | 41.0F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 13 | Wet | 23.0 | -4.2 | Texas | 66.7F | 6.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 12 | Windy | 23.0 | -4.2 | Texas | 50.4F | 19.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 12 | Windy | 23.0 | -4.2 | Baylor | 71.1F | 19.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 10 | Cold | 21.0 | -6.2 | Kansas | 43.0F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 12 | Windy | 21.0 | -6.2 | Oklahoma | 60.8F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 14 | Windy | 20.0 | -7.2 | Oklahoma State | 50.4F | 18.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 13 | Windy | 19.0 | -8.2 | West Virginia | 55.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 3 | Wet | 17.0 | -10.2 | Iowa | 66.4F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 14 | Windy | 17.0 | -10.2 | Kansas State | 41.9F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2013 | 11 | Windy | 17.0 | -10.2 | TCU | 51.1F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 13 | Wet | 14.0 | -13.2 | TCU | 48.6F | 10.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 9 | Cold | 14.0 | -13.2 | TCU | 42.1F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 10 | Cold | 14.0 | -13.2 | Oklahoma | 34.0F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Cold | 10.0 | -17.2 | Texas Tech | 17.8F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2013 | 12 | Wet | 10.0 | -17.2 | Oklahoma | 67.6F | 25.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 13 | Wet | 6.0 | -21.2 | West Virginia | 57.9F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 2 | Windy | 3.0 | -24.2 | Iowa | 72.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 15 | Windy | 3.0 | -24.2 | TCU | 61.0F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
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