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Weather

South Florida Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Raymond James Stadium • Tampa • FL

American AthleticRaymond James Stadium
Team games analyzed
149
Neutral avg points
29.8
Adverse avg points
24.0
Weather delta
-5.8

Weather context

South Florida performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares South Floridagames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 149 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 29.8 points and an adverse-weather average of 24.0 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2019 vs South Carolina State: 25.2 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2014 vs Houston: -26.8 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
20193Wet55.025.2South Carolina State84.9F11.1 mph0.0 inNo
20173Wet47.017.2Illinois82.9F3.4 mph0.4 inNo
20156Windy45.015.2Syracuse86.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
202212Cold42.012.2Tulsa29.7F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
20141Wet36.06.2Western Carolina79.0F17.2 mph0.1 inNo
20178Windy34.04.2Tulane79.0F20.8 mph0.0 inNo
20171Wet31.01.2Stony Brook77.0F9.2 mph0.1 inNo
20168Windy30.00.2Temple75.0F17.2 mph0.0 inYes
20202Wet27.0-2.8The Citadel78.3F10.4 mph0.0 inNo
20238Wet24.0-5.8UConn55.6F13.7 mph0.0 inYes
201811Cold23.0-6.8Cincinnati28.6F1.5 mph0.0 inNo
201510Wet22.0-7.8East Carolina68.0F0.0 mph0.2 inYes
20221Wet21.0-8.8BYU84.2F6.8 mph0.1 inNo
20215Wet17.0-12.8SMU84.0F4.3 mph0.0 inNo
201812Cold17.0-12.8Temple44.6F10.1 mph0.0 inNo
20144Wet17.0-12.8UConn70.0F8.1 mph0.3 inNo
20219Wet14.0-15.8East Carolina62.4F5.6 mph0.0 inNo
20152Wet14.0-15.8Florida State73.0F0.0 mph0.2 inNo
201412Cold14.0-15.8SMU42.1F12.7 mph0.0 inNo
20133Wet10.0-19.8Florida Atlantic84.0F5.8 mph0.2 inYes
201315Cold6.0-23.8Rutgers28.9F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
20224Wet3.0-26.8Louisville73.6F13.7 mph0.0 inNo
201410Windy3.0-26.8Houston63.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo

Quick Answers

South Florida weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-5.85

Games in scope
149
Neutral avg points
29.85
Adverse avg points
24
Top outlier
Windy (-26.85)