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Weather

Florida State Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Doak Campbell Stadium • Tallahassee • FL

ACCDoak Campbell Stadium
Team games analyzed
148
Neutral avg points
32.3
Adverse avg points
28.7
Weather delta
-3.6

Weather context

Florida State performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Florida Stategames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 148 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 32.3 points and an adverse-weather average of 28.7 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2015 vs Texas State: 26.7 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2020 vs Miami: -22.3 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
20151Wet59.026.7Texas State78.1F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
20134Wet54.021.7Bethune-Cookman75.9F3.4 mph0.1 inNo
20221Wet47.014.7Duquesne73.9F8.1 mph0.7 inNo
201911Cold38.05.7Boston College36.7F2.5 mph0.0 inYes
20142Wet37.04.7The Citadel78.1F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
20182Wet36.03.7Samford82.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20194Windy35.02.7Louisville88.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20199Windy35.02.7Syracuse82.0F20.8 mph0.0 inNo
20152Wet34.01.7South Florida73.0F0.0 mph0.2 inNo
20233Windy31.0-1.3Boston College67.6F24.2 mph0.0 inNo
20186Windy27.0-5.3Miami84.9F17.1 mph0.0 inNo
202112Cold26.0-6.3Boston College42.4F8.1 mph0.0 inYes
20175Windy26.0-6.3Wake Forest73.9F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
202310Wet24.0-8.3Pittsburgh62.8F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
20241Windy21.0-11.3Georgia Tech60.8F19.9 mph0.0 inYes
20219Wet20.0-12.3Clemson57.9F9.3 mph0.0 inNo
201413Wet20.0-12.3Boston College63.0F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
201813Wet14.0-18.3Florida66.9F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
20202Wet13.0-19.3Georgia Tech86.0F7.0 mph0.0 inYes
201811Cold13.0-19.3Notre Dame27.3F5.5 mph0.0 inNo
202414Cold11.0-21.3Florida37.9F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
20204Wet10.0-22.3Miami79.5F11.1 mph0.0 inNo

Quick Answers

Florida State weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-3.63

Games in scope
148
Neutral avg points
32.31
Adverse avg points
28.68
Top outlier
Wet (26.69)