Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
Illinois Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) • Champaign • IL
Big TenMemorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Team games analyzed
151
Neutral avg points
25.6
Adverse avg points
22.7
Weather delta
-2.9
Weather context
Illinois performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Illinoisgames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 151 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 25.6 points and an adverse-weather average of 22.7 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2013 vs Miami (OH): 24.4 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2016 vs Iowa: -25.6 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7 | Windy | 50.0 | 24.4 | Purdue | 84.2F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 5 | Windy | 50.0 | 24.4 | Miami (OH) | 80.1F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 13 | Wet | 47.0 | 21.4 | Northwestern | 44.6F | 10.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 14 | Windy | 47.0 | 21.4 | Northwestern | 45.0F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2023 | 13 | Cold | 43.0 | 17.4 | Northwestern | 39.0F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 4 | Windy | 42.0 | 16.4 | Texas State | 82.9F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 12 | Cold | 41.0 | 15.4 | Nebraska | 42.1F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 13 | Windy | 38.0 | 12.4 | Rutgers | 50.0F | 21.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 14 | Cold | 38.0 | 12.4 | Northwestern | 22.1F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 10 | Windy | 38.0 | 12.4 | Rutgers | 45.0F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 11 | Cold | 37.0 | 11.4 | Michigan State | 42.3F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2018 | 11 | Windy | 35.0 | 9.4 | Nebraska | 23.2F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 12 | Windy | 35.0 | 9.4 | Ohio State | 57.9F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 2 | Windy | 34.0 | 8.4 | Western Illinois | 64.0F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | — |
| 2018 | 9 | Windy | 33.0 | 7.4 | Maryland | 49.8F | 17.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 1 | Wet | 30.0 | 4.4 | UTSA | 73.4F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 1 | Wet | 28.0 | 2.4 | Youngstown State | 78.1F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 7 | Wet | 27.0 | 1.4 | Maryland | 59.5F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 6 | Windy | 27.0 | 1.4 | Purdue | 44.1F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2025 | 9 | Windy | 25.0 | -0.6 | Washington | 57.2F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 7 | Windy | 25.0 | -0.6 | Michigan | 46.9F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 2 | Wet | 24.0 | -1.6 | Virginia | 82.4F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 11 | Windy | 24.0 | -1.6 | Purdue | 34.0F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 5 | Wet | 24.0 | -1.6 | Charlotte | 75.2F | 16.2 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2020 | 9 | Windy | 24.0 | -1.6 | Purdue | 51.1F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 9 | Wet | 24.0 | -1.6 | Purdue | 46.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2017 | 7 | Windy | 24.0 | -1.6 | Rutgers | 77.0F | 19.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2017 | 3 | Wet | 23.0 | -2.6 | South Florida | 82.9F | 3.4 mph | 0.4 in | No |
| 2016 | 2 | Windy | 23.0 | -2.6 | North Carolina | 72.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 12 | Cold | 23.0 | -2.6 | Minnesota | 23.0F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 8 | Windy | 21.0 | -4.6 | Wisconsin | 71.1F | 25.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 14 | Cold | 21.0 | -4.6 | Iowa | 44.1F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 16 | Wet | 21.0 | -4.6 | Penn State | 30.6F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 13 | Cold | 21.0 | -4.6 | Northwestern | 43.0F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 14 | Windy | 20.0 | -5.6 | Northwestern | 33.8F | 26.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 8 | Wet | 20.0 | -5.6 | Penn State | 46.8F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2018 | 8 | Windy | 20.0 | -5.6 | Wisconsin | 42.1F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 13 | Windy | 20.0 | -5.6 | Purdue | 27.0F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 6 | Windy | 19.0 | -6.6 | Nebraska | 49.8F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Windy | 17.0 | -8.6 | Michigan | 27.0F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 6 | Wet | 17.0 | -8.6 | Minnesota | 51.6F | 14.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 8 | Windy | 17.0 | -8.6 | Minnesota | 66.0F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 9 | Windy | 17.0 | -8.6 | Minnesota | 73.9F | 19.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 13 | Cold | 16.0 | -9.6 | Northwestern | 44.2F | 13.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 6 | Wet | 16.0 | -9.6 | Iowa | 69.1F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 13 | Windy | 16.0 | -9.6 | Penn State | 51.1F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 10 | Windy | 15.0 | -10.6 | Michigan State | 57.0F | 29.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 10 | Windy | 14.0 | -11.6 | Minnesota | 73.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 11 | Cold | 14.0 | -11.6 | Indiana | 36.0F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 5 | Windy | 14.0 | -11.6 | Nebraska | 57.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 13 | Windy | 14.0 | -11.6 | Northwestern | 39.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 10 | Cold | 14.0 | -11.6 | Ohio State | 37.9F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 12 | Cold | 14.0 | -11.6 | Iowa | 32.0F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 8 | Windy | 13.0 | -12.6 | Wisconsin | 64.0F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 15 | Wet | 10.0 | -15.6 | Northwestern | 38.3F | 15.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 13 | Cold | 10.0 | -15.6 | Iowa | 36.9F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 14 | Wet | 10.0 | -15.6 | Northwestern | 39.0F | 20.8 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2017 | 9 | Windy | 10.0 | -15.6 | Wisconsin | 39.9F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 8 | Cold | 7.0 | -18.6 | Wisconsin | 40.1F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 13 | Windy | 7.0 | -18.6 | Northwestern | 55.9F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 11 | Windy | 3.0 | -22.6 | Ohio State | 53.1F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 9 | Windy | 3.0 | -22.6 | Michigan State | 61.0F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 12 | Cold | 0.0 | -25.6 | Iowa | 37.9F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 12 | Windy | 0.0 | -25.6 | Iowa | 36.0F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
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