Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
Mississippi State Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Davis Wade Stadium • Starkville • MS
SECDavis Wade Stadium
Team games analyzed
147
Neutral avg points
29.8
Adverse avg points
26.2
Weather delta
-3.6
Weather context
Mississippi State performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Mississippi Stategames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 147 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 29.8 points and an adverse-weather average of 26.2 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2022 vs East Tennessee State: 26.2 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2018 vs LSU: -26.8 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 12 | Cold | 56.0 | 26.2 | East Tennessee State | 44.4F | 0.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 12 | Cold | 51.0 | 21.2 | Arkansas | 36.0F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 1 | Wet | 49.0 | 19.2 | Memphis | 84.0F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 1 | Wet | 49.0 | 19.2 | Southern Miss | 71.6F | 3.4 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2017 | 12 | Wet | 28.0 | -1.8 | Arkansas | 48.9F | 24.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 13 | Cold | 28.0 | -1.8 | Ole Miss | 42.8F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 2 | Windy | 27.0 | -2.8 | South Carolina | 95.0F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 5 | Wet | 26.0 | -3.8 | Texas A&M | 84.0F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 13 | Wet | 21.0 | -8.8 | Ole Miss | 59.0F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 11 | Cold | 19.0 | -10.8 | Georgia | 39.0F | 10.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 3 | Wet | 17.0 | -12.8 | Toledo | 75.0F | 0.0 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2013 | 14 | Cold | 17.0 | -12.8 | Ole Miss | 32.0F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 14 | Cold | 14.0 | -15.8 | Ole Miss | 44.4F | 11.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 13 | Cold | 7.0 | -22.8 | Ole Miss | 44.4F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 4 | Wet | 7.0 | -22.8 | Kentucky | 63.1F | 5.9 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2018 | 8 | Wet | 3.0 | -26.8 | LSU | 68.0F | 9.2 mph | 0.1 in | No |
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