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Weather

Alabama Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Bryant-Denny Stadium • Tuscaloosa • AL

SECBryant-Denny Stadium
Team games analyzed
148
Neutral avg points
40.9
Adverse avg points
37.2
Weather delta
-3.7

Weather context

Alabama performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Alabamagames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 148 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 40.9 points and an adverse-weather average of 37.2 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2019 vs Western Carolina: 25.1 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2024 vs Oklahoma: -37.9 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
201913Windy66.025.1Western Carolina55.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20186Wet65.024.1Arkansas76.6F11.1 mph0.0 inNo
201712Windy56.015.1Mercer72.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
202015Cold52.011.1Arkansas39.0F10.7 mph0.0 inNo
20172Windy41.00.1Fresno State81.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20173Wet41.00.1Colorado State82.9F3.4 mph0.1 inNo
20155Wet38.0-2.9Georgia60.1F5.8 mph0.1 inYes
20213Wet31.0-9.9Florida82.4F5.6 mph0.1 inNo
202211Cold30.0-10.9Ole Miss42.6F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
201510Wet30.0-10.9LSU55.9F13.9 mph0.0 inNo
20146Windy17.0-23.9Ole Miss64.2F19.7 mph0.0 inYes
20147Wet14.0-26.9Arkansas54.0F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
202413Windy3.0-37.9Oklahoma62.6F15.0 mph0.0 inYes

Quick Answers

Alabama weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-3.68

Games in scope
148
Neutral avg points
40.91
Adverse avg points
37.23
Top outlier
Windy (-37.91)