Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
Texas State Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Bobcat Stadium (TX) • San Marcos • TX
Pac-12Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Team games analyzed
150
Neutral avg points
26.5
Adverse avg points
24.0
Weather delta
-2.5
Weather context
Texas State performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Texas Stategames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 150 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 26.5 points and an adverse-weather average of 24.0 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2024 vs UTSA: 22.5 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2013 vs Western Kentucky: -19.5 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | Windy | 49.0 | 22.5 | UTSA | 91.0F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 14 | Windy | 45.0 | 18.5 | South Alabama | 52.7F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 13 | Cold | 45.0 | 18.5 | Arkansas State | 41.0F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2013 | 5 | Windy | 42.0 | 15.5 | Wyoming | 78.8F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 11 | Wet | 38.0 | 11.5 | UL Monroe | 70.0F | 5.8 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2019 | 4 | Windy | 37.0 | 10.5 | Georgia State | 92.5F | 16.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 10 | Windy | 37.0 | 10.5 | New Mexico State | 76.5F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 8 | Wet | 36.0 | 9.5 | South Alabama | 66.9F | 23.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 4 | Windy | 35.0 | 8.5 | Illinois | 82.9F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 7 | Windy | 28.0 | 1.5 | Troy | 73.4F | 18.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 2 | Wet | 28.0 | 1.5 | Prairie View A&M | 80.6F | 19.7 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2014 | 11 | Windy | 25.0 | -1.5 | Georgia Southern | 77.0F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 13 | Windy | 24.0 | -2.5 | Arkansas State | 55.2F | 21.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2023 | 11 | Wet | 23.0 | -3.5 | Coastal Carolina | 48.2F | 5.6 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 6 | Windy | 21.0 | -5.5 | Georgia State | 84.0F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 10 | Windy | 21.0 | -5.5 | New Mexico State | 62.6F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 12 | Cold | 20.0 | -6.5 | South Alabama | 45.0F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 11 | Wet | 19.0 | -7.5 | Georgia State | 59.0F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 10 | Windy | 17.0 | -9.5 | Louisiana | 81.0F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 6 | Wet | 17.0 | -9.5 | Troy | 77.2F | 10.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Wet | 16.0 | -10.5 | Arkansas State | 41.0F | 18.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 1 | Wet | 16.0 | -10.5 | Florida State | 78.1F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 1 | Windy | 14.0 | -12.5 | Nevada | 98.2F | 19.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 8 | Windy | 14.0 | -12.5 | Southern Miss | 86.0F | 19.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 13 | Wet | 14.0 | -12.5 | Coastal Carolina | 59.7F | 8.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 9 | Wet | 14.0 | -12.5 | Arkansas State | 57.0F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 4 | Windy | 14.0 | -12.5 | UTSA | 88.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 14 | Wet | 14.0 | -12.5 | Arkansas State | 52.0F | 13.9 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2022 | 5 | Wet | 13.0 | -13.5 | James Madison | 52.9F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 13 | Wet | 13.0 | -13.5 | App State | 41.2F | 2.4 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2017 | 12 | Wet | 12.0 | -14.5 | Arkansas State | 64.0F | 27.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 13 | Windy | 7.0 | -19.5 | Western Kentucky | 41.0F | 19.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
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