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Weather

USC Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum • Los Angeles • CA

Big TenLos Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Team games analyzed
151
Neutral avg points
34.2
Adverse avg points
32.5
Weather delta
-1.7

Weather context

USC performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares USCgames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 151 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 34.2 points and an adverse-weather average of 32.5 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2025 vs Georgia Southern: 24.8 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2018 vs Stanford: -31.2 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
20252Windy59.024.8Georgia Southern72.7F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20141Windy52.017.8Fresno State75.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201710Windy49.014.8Arizona64.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201313Cold47.012.8Colorado30.0F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
20213Wet45.010.8Washington State51.8F9.3 mph0.0 inNo
201410Cold44.09.8Washington State43.0F13.9 mph0.0 inNo
202015Windy43.08.8UCLA61.7F15.1 mph0.0 inNo
20172Windy42.07.8Stanford72.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20145Windy35.00.8Oregon State66.9F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20253Wet33.0-1.2Purdue74.3F12.3 mph0.0 inNo
202012Cold33.0-1.2Utah28.8F5.1 mph0.0 inNo
20238Windy32.0-2.2Utah71.2F19.0 mph0.0 inYes
20157Cold31.0-3.2Notre Dame39.9F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
20143Wet31.0-3.2Boston College57.0F7.0 mph0.0 inYes
202010Wet28.0-6.2Arizona State54.3F9.1 mph0.0 inNo
201512Cold28.0-6.2Oregon45.0F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
202513Cold27.0-7.2Oregon44.4F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
20173Windy27.0-7.2Texas70.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20164Wet27.0-7.2Utah46.8F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
201511Cold27.0-7.2Colorado41.0F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
202512Wet26.0-8.2Iowa60.8F12.1 mph0.3 inNo
20216Windy26.0-8.2Utah68.2F16.1 mph0.0 inYes
20258Wet24.0-10.2Notre Dame64.6F10.9 mph0.1 inNo
202510Cold21.0-13.2Nebraska41.2F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
20149Windy21.0-13.2Utah70.5F20.8 mph0.0 inYes
20218Cold16.0-18.2Notre Dame41.2F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
20182Windy3.0-31.2Stanford81.7F15.5 mph0.0 inNo

Quick Answers

USC weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-1.73

Games in scope
151
Neutral avg points
34.21
Adverse avg points
32.48
Top outlier
Windy (-31.21)