Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
Fresno State Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Valley Children's Stadium • Fresno • CA
Pac-12Valley Children's Stadium
Team games analyzed
149
Neutral avg points
30.2
Adverse avg points
25.9
Weather delta
-4.3
Weather context
Fresno State performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Fresno Stategames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 149 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 30.2 points and an adverse-weather average of 25.9 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2013 vs Wyoming: 17.8 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2015 vs BYU: -20.2 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 11 | Cold | 48.0 | 17.8 | Wyoming | 37.9F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 5 | Windy | 42.0 | 11.8 | Hawai'i | 81.0F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 8 | Windy | 41.0 | 10.8 | New Mexico | 74.3F | 19.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Cold | 41.0 | 10.8 | Nevada | 27.3F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 4 | Windy | 41.0 | 10.8 | Boise State | 89.1F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 13 | Cold | 40.0 | 9.8 | Nevada | 39.2F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 15 | Wet | 39.0 | 8.8 | New Mexico | 37.6F | 21.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 4 | Windy | 38.0 | 7.8 | New Mexico | 65.3F | 19.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 11 | Windy | 35.0 | 4.8 | Utah State | 37.2F | 19.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 2 | Windy | 35.0 | 4.8 | Minnesota | 80.2F | 23.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 11 | Wet | 31.0 | 0.8 | Hawai'i | 77.0F | 4.7 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2024 | 11 | Cold | 28.0 | -2.2 | Air Force | 27.3F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 14 | Cold | 28.0 | -2.2 | Boise State | 36.5F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 14 | Cold | 26.0 | -4.2 | Nevada | 42.1F | 4.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 8 | Cold | 24.0 | -6.2 | Nevada | 43.3F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 15 | Cold | 24.0 | -6.2 | Utah State | 42.1F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 6 | Wet | 21.0 | -9.2 | Nevada | 49.1F | 12.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 14 | Wet | 19.0 | -11.2 | Boise State | 36.1F | 9.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2023 | 12 | Wet | 17.0 | -13.2 | New Mexico | 59.0F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2018 | 11 | Cold | 17.0 | -13.2 | Boise State | 36.5F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 3 | Wet | 17.0 | -13.2 | Toledo | 70.2F | 3.4 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2019 | 14 | Windy | 16.0 | -14.2 | San José State | 53.1F | 19.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 14 | Cold | 14.0 | -16.2 | Boise State | 39.0F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 15 | Cold | 14.0 | -16.2 | Boise State | 43.0F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 12 | Windy | 13.0 | -17.2 | Wyoming | 34.7F | 26.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 1 | Windy | 13.0 | -17.2 | USC | 75.9F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 2 | Windy | 10.0 | -20.2 | Alabama | 81.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 1 | Wet | 10.0 | -20.2 | Nebraska | 67.3F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 12 | Cold | 10.0 | -20.2 | BYU | 35.1F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
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