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Weather

Western Michigan Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Waldo Stadium • Kalamazoo • MI

Mid-AmericanWaldo Stadium
Team games analyzed
147
Neutral avg points
29.9
Adverse avg points
31.4
Weather delta
1.6

Weather context

Western Michigan performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Western Michigangames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 147 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 29.9 points and an adverse-weather average of 31.4 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2016 vs North Carolina Central: 40.1 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2023 vs Northern Illinois: -29.9 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
20162Windy70.040.1North Carolina Central66.9F16.1 mph0.0 in
20159Windy58.028.1Eastern Michigan46.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201613Cold55.025.1Toledo39.0F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
202012Cold52.022.1Central Michigan40.5F9.6 mph0.0 inNo
20153Windy52.022.1Murray State64.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201412Cold51.021.1Eastern Michigan30.0F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
20199Cold49.019.1Bowling Green45.0F6.3 mph0.0 inNo
20165Wet49.019.1Central Michigan60.8F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
201711Cold48.018.1Kent State39.0F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
20144Wet45.015.1Murray State69.1F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
202113Windy42.012.1Northern Illinois34.0F19.9 mph0.0 inNo
202014Cold42.012.1Eastern Michigan35.1F6.0 mph0.0 inYes
20149Windy42.012.1Ohio66.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
202011Cold41.011.1Toledo33.1F0.6 mph0.0 inNo
201812Cold41.011.1Ball State29.8F7.5 mph0.0 inYes
20167Windy41.011.1Akron75.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
201410Cold41.011.1Miami (OH)39.0F11.4 mph0.0 inNo
202311Cold38.08.1Central Michigan44.2F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
20197Windy38.08.1Miami (OH)44.4F16.3 mph0.0 inNo
201612Wet38.08.1Buffalo33.1F13.9 mph0.0 inNo
201912Cold37.07.1Ohio23.7F8.1 mph0.0 inYes
201611Wet37.07.1Kent State52.0F7.0 mph0.1 inNo
202513Cold35.05.1Northern Illinois41.2F9.3 mph0.0 inNo
201911Cold35.05.1Ball State32.5F4.6 mph0.0 inNo
20188Windy35.05.1Central Michigan46.6F15.4 mph0.0 inNo
20158Windy35.05.1Miami (OH)69.1F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
201513Wet35.05.1Toledo56.7F5.8 mph0.0 inYes
201413Cold32.02.1Central Michigan36.9F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
201311Windy32.02.1Eastern Michigan57.0F18.3 mph0.0 inYes
201712Windy31.01.1Northern Illinois42.4F25.3 mph0.0 inNo
202110Cold30.00.1Central Michigan39.4F8.1 mph0.0 inYes
202013Cold30.00.1Northern Illinois42.4F10.2 mph0.0 inNo
201813Cold28.0-1.9Northern Illinois32.0F13.2 mph0.0 inYes
201710Cold28.0-1.9Central Michigan42.1F4.7 mph0.0 inYes
202015Wet27.0-2.9Ball State56.3F20.5 mph0.0 inYes
202414Cold26.0-3.9Eastern Michigan23.4F12.7 mph0.0 inNo
20226Windy23.0-6.9Eastern Michigan50.2F15.0 mph0.0 inYes
20237Wet21.0-8.9Miami (OH)56.1F10.3 mph0.0 inNo
202112Cold21.0-8.9Eastern Michigan35.8F5.6 mph0.0 inYes
201414Cold21.0-8.9Northern Illinois25.0F11.4 mph0.0 inYes
20245Wet20.0-9.9Marshall70.9F6.8 mph0.0 inNo
20216Wet20.0-9.9Ball State73.0F7.4 mph0.0 inYes
20136Wet20.0-9.9Toledo71.6F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
201512Windy19.0-10.9Northern Illinois47.7F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
20146Wet19.0-10.9Toledo42.1F8.1 mph0.1 inNo
202512Cold17.0-12.9Ohio34.0F12.4 mph0.0 inNo
20227Windy14.0-15.9Ohio53.2F15.0 mph0.0 inYes
201914Wet14.0-15.9Northern Illinois41.5F14.5 mph0.0 inYes
201810Wet14.0-15.9Ohio43.7F4.2 mph0.0 inNo
201314Cold14.0-15.9Northern Illinois24.8F11.4 mph0.0 inNo
202412Cold13.0-16.9Bowling Green42.6F5.6 mph0.0 inNo
20177Wet13.0-16.9Akron55.9F13.9 mph0.0 inYes
202212Wet12.0-17.9Central Michigan30.0F4.3 mph0.0 inYes
20233Wet10.0-19.9Iowa74.8F7.0 mph0.2 inNo
202313Cold10.0-19.9Bowling Green41.2F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
202312Cold0.0-29.9Northern Illinois41.2F8.1 mph0.0 inNo

Quick Answers

Western Michigan weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

1.57

Games in scope
147
Neutral avg points
29.88
Adverse avg points
31.45
Top outlier
Windy (40.12)