Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
Toledo Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Glass Bowl • Toledo • OH
Mid-AmericanGlass Bowl
Team games analyzed
149
Neutral avg points
34.9
Adverse avg points
33.0
Weather delta
-1.9
Weather context
Toledo performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Toledogames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 149 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 34.9 points and an adverse-weather average of 33.0 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2017 vs Bowling Green: 31.1 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2019 vs Central Michigan: -27.9 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 12 | Windy | 66.0 | 31.1 | Bowling Green | 48.9F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 12 | Wet | 56.0 | 21.1 | Kent State | 34.0F | 7.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 10 | Cold | 55.0 | 20.1 | Eastern Michigan | 44.6F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 6 | Windy | 52.0 | 17.1 | Northern Illinois | 55.6F | 18.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 3 | Wet | 52.0 | 17.1 | Fresno State | 70.2F | 3.4 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2014 | 14 | Cold | 52.0 | 17.1 | Eastern Michigan | 30.0F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 13 | Cold | 51.0 | 16.1 | Central Michigan | 43.5F | 8.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 12 | Cold | 51.0 | 16.1 | Buffalo | 32.0F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 10 | Cold | 49.0 | 14.1 | Eastern Michigan | 41.4F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 13 | Wet | 49.0 | 14.1 | Akron | 30.6F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 6 | Wet | 47.0 | 12.1 | Western Michigan | 71.6F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 12 | Cold | 45.0 | 10.1 | Eastern Michigan | 39.6F | 11.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 2 | Wet | 45.0 | 10.1 | Maine | 71.4F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 8 | Wet | 45.0 | 10.1 | Navy | 42.8F | 7.0 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2014 | 9 | Windy | 42.0 | 7.1 | Massachusetts | 66.2F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 3 | Wet | 41.0 | 6.1 | Mississippi State | 75.0F | 0.0 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 14 | Cold | 41.0 | 6.1 | Northern Illinois | 37.6F | 0.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 13 | Cold | 38.0 | 3.1 | Ball State | 44.8F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 11 | Cold | 38.0 | 3.1 | Western Michigan | 33.1F | 0.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 12 | Cold | 37.0 | 2.1 | Central Michigan | 37.8F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 9 | Wet | 37.0 | 2.1 | Eastern Michigan | 51.6F | 11.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 12 | Cold | 37.0 | 2.1 | Ball State | 44.4F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Cold | 35.0 | 0.1 | Bowling Green | 34.2F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 12 | Cold | 35.0 | 0.1 | Ohio | 39.7F | 6.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 11 | Cold | 35.0 | 0.1 | Kent State | 40.3F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 6 | Windy | 35.0 | 0.1 | Eastern Michigan | 63.0F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 13 | Cold | 35.0 | 0.1 | Western Michigan | 39.0F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 12 | Cold | 32.0 | -2.9 | Bowling Green | 44.8F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 13 | Cold | 32.0 | -2.9 | Central Michigan | 30.7F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 10 | Wet | 31.0 | -3.9 | Buffalo | 31.5F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 13 | Cold | 30.0 | -4.9 | Buffalo | 38.3F | 7.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 7 | Wet | 30.0 | -4.9 | Central Michigan | 57.6F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 13 | Wet | 30.0 | -4.9 | Western Michigan | 56.7F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 11 | Wet | 30.0 | -4.9 | Kent State | 53.2F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 14 | Wet | 29.0 | -5.9 | Akron | 30.9F | 0.0 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 12 | Cold | 28.0 | -6.9 | Northern Illinois | 24.3F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 11 | Cold | 28.0 | -6.9 | Central Michigan | 41.5F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 8 | Windy | 27.0 | -7.9 | Buffalo | 72.5F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 13 | Windy | 27.0 | -7.9 | Bowling Green | 32.0F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 12 | Cold | 24.0 | -10.9 | Miami (OH) | 43.5F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 13 | Cold | 24.0 | -10.9 | Ball State | 41.7F | 8.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 15 | Windy | 24.0 | -10.9 | Central Michigan | 56.5F | 21.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 5 | Windy | 24.0 | -10.9 | Ball State | 45.0F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 12 | Windy | 24.0 | -10.9 | Northern Illinois | 31.8F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 14 | Wet | 21.0 | -13.9 | Central Michigan | 31.8F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 8 | Wet | 21.0 | -13.9 | Miami (OH) | 70.7F | 6.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 6 | Wet | 20.0 | -14.9 | Northern Illinois | 73.8F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 6 | Wet | 20.0 | -14.9 | Western Michigan | 42.1F | 8.1 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2013 | 13 | Cold | 17.0 | -17.9 | Northern Illinois | 37.4F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 11 | Cold | 15.0 | -19.9 | Northern Illinois | 32.7F | 13.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 14 | Cold | 14.0 | -20.9 | Akron | 37.0F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2023 | 7 | Wet | 13.0 | -21.9 | Ball State | 53.6F | 13.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 11 | Cold | 10.0 | -24.9 | Ohio | 39.0F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2025 | 9 | Windy | 7.0 | -27.9 | Washington State | 50.0F | 18.6 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 13 | Cold | 7.0 | -27.9 | Ohio | 43.2F | 6.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 14 | Cold | 7.0 | -27.9 | Central Michigan | 32.9F | 0.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
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