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Tennessee Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Neyland Stadium • Knoxville • TN

SECNeyland Stadium
Team games analyzed
150
Neutral avg points
30.8
Adverse avg points
34.3
Weather delta
3.5

Weather context

Tennessee performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Tennesseegames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 150 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 30.8 points and an adverse-weather average of 34.3 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2021 vs Missouri: 31.2 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2013 vs Vanderbilt: -20.8 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
20215Wet62.031.2Missouri70.5F5.6 mph0.0 inYes
202112Cold60.029.2South Alabama39.0F2.5 mph0.0 inNo
202213Wet56.025.2Vanderbilt53.4F9.3 mph0.0 inNo
20213Wet56.025.2Tennessee Tech80.4F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
20159Windy52.021.2Kentucky60.1F20.8 mph0.0 inNo
201412Cold50.019.2Kentucky43.3F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
202110Cold45.014.2Kentucky44.4F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
20141Wet38.07.2Utah State72.3F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
202414Cold36.05.2Vanderbilt38.1F4.2 mph0.0 inNo
201613Cold34.03.2Vanderbilt39.0F0.0 mph0.0 inYes
201914Wet28.0-2.8Vanderbilt50.4F6.6 mph0.1 inNo
201314Cold27.0-3.8Kentucky45.0F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
20179Cold26.0-4.8Kentucky39.0F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
201913Cold24.0-6.8Missouri37.6F8.0 mph0.0 inYes
201811Cold24.0-6.8Kentucky43.9F7.5 mph0.0 inYes
201414Windy24.0-6.8Vanderbilt57.4F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20155Wet20.0-10.8Arkansas60.4F9.2 mph0.1 inYes
201512Cold19.0-11.8Missouri30.0F10.3 mph0.0 inNo
201911Cold17.0-13.8Kentucky43.7F5.5 mph0.0 inYes
202016Cold13.0-17.8Texas A&M40.3F1.6 mph0.0 inNo
201313Cold10.0-20.8Vanderbilt43.3F5.8 mph0.0 inYes

Quick Answers

Tennessee weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

3.53

Games in scope
150
Neutral avg points
30.81
Adverse avg points
34.33
Top outlier
Wet (31.19)