Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
TCU Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Amon G. Carter Stadium • Fort Worth • TX
Big 12Amon G. Carter Stadium
Team games analyzed
152
Neutral avg points
34.2
Adverse avg points
30.4
Weather delta
-3.8
Weather context
TCU performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares TCUgames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 152 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 34.2 points and an adverse-weather average of 30.4 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2022 vs Iowa State: 27.8 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2016 vs Kansas State: -28.2 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 13 | Wet | 62.0 | 27.8 | Iowa State | 48.6F | 10.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 13 | Cold | 59.0 | 24.8 | Kansas | 41.5F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 15 | Windy | 55.0 | 20.8 | Iowa State | 61.0F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 6 | Windy | 52.0 | 17.8 | Texas Tech | 91.6F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 7 | Windy | 44.0 | 9.8 | BYU | 70.3F | 19.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 8 | Wet | 42.0 | 7.8 | Baylor | 75.4F | 13.2 mph | 0.2 in | No |
| 2024 | 4 | Windy | 42.0 | 7.8 | SMU | 95.9F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2018 | 2 | Wet | 42.0 | 7.8 | SMU | 77.7F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 5 | Windy | 38.0 | 3.8 | Kansas | 83.7F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 1 | Windy | 38.0 | 3.8 | Colorado | 78.6F | 19.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 8 | Windy | 38.0 | 3.8 | Kansas State | 81.0F | 18.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 14 | Windy | 38.0 | 3.8 | Baylor | 64.4F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 10 | Wet | 34.0 | -0.2 | Baylor | 75.7F | 19.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 12 | Cold | 34.0 | -0.2 | Kansas | 30.9F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 4 | Windy | 33.0 | -1.2 | SMU | 91.0F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 12 | Windy | 31.0 | -3.2 | Kansas | 72.0F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 10 | Wet | 31.0 | -3.2 | West Virginia | 44.1F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 12 | Windy | 31.0 | -3.2 | Kansas State | 73.9F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Cold | 29.0 | -5.2 | Baylor | 39.6F | 13.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 12 | Cold | 29.0 | -5.2 | Oklahoma | 35.6F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 13 | Wet | 28.0 | -6.2 | Baylor | 39.9F | 13.9 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 5 | Wet | 27.0 | -7.2 | Texas | 79.2F | 10.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 12 | Windy | 27.0 | -7.2 | Texas Tech | 54.1F | 33.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 7 | Wet | 26.0 | -8.2 | Kansas State | 70.0F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 5 | Windy | 24.0 | -10.2 | Arizona State | 71.4F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 6 | Wet | 24.0 | -10.2 | Iowa State | 57.7F | 8.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 13 | Cold | 24.0 | -10.2 | Oklahoma | 43.9F | 2.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 10 | Windy | 24.0 | -10.2 | Texas | 86.0F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 11 | Windy | 21.0 | -13.2 | Iowa State | 51.1F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 14 | Cold | 20.0 | -14.2 | Cincinnati | 32.9F | 13.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 8 | Windy | 17.0 | -17.2 | West Virginia | 81.0F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 13 | Cold | 14.0 | -20.2 | Iowa State | 39.4F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 10 | Windy | 14.0 | -20.2 | Kansas State | 72.9F | 23.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 11 | Cold | 10.0 | -24.2 | West Virginia | 32.5F | 11.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 3 | Windy | 10.0 | -24.2 | Texas Tech | 84.2F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2017 | 9 | Cold | 7.0 | -27.2 | Iowa State | 42.1F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 14 | Wet | 6.0 | -28.2 | Kansas State | 50.0F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
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