Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
Virginia Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Scott Stadium • Charlottesville • VA
ACCScott Stadium
Team games analyzed
152
Neutral avg points
27.2
Adverse avg points
22.9
Weather delta
-4.2
Weather context
Virginia performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Virginiagames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 152 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 27.2 points and an adverse-weather average of 22.9 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2019 vs Liberty: 27.8 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2017 vs Virginia Tech: -27.2 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 13 | Cold | 55.0 | 27.8 | Liberty | 39.7F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 4 | Wet | 49.0 | 21.8 | VMI | 66.9F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 7 | Wet | 48.0 | 20.8 | Duke | 66.6F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 11 | Cold | 45.0 | 17.8 | Liberty | 43.3F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 9 | Cold | 44.0 | 16.8 | North Carolina | 43.3F | 4.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 14 | Cold | 43.0 | 15.8 | Boston College | 45.0F | 14.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 1 | Wet | 42.0 | 14.8 | Richmond | 74.7F | 6.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 11 | Cold | 33.0 | 5.8 | Georgia Tech | 39.6F | 7.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 13 | Cold | 31.0 | 3.8 | Virginia Tech | 37.4F | 7.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 13 | Cold | 30.0 | 2.8 | Miami | 39.0F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2018 | 8 | Wet | 28.0 | 0.8 | Duke | 62.8F | 7.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2025 | 14 | Cold | 27.0 | -0.2 | Virginia Tech | 35.8F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 9 | Windy | 26.0 | -1.2 | Miami | 82.4F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 3 | Wet | 23.0 | -4.2 | Louisville | 64.0F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 6 | Wet | 21.0 | -6.2 | NC State | 63.3F | 8.6 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 9 | Wet | 21.0 | -6.2 | Louisville | 62.4F | 13.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2025 | 15 | Cold | 20.0 | -7.2 | Duke | 37.4F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | — |
| 2019 | 5 | Wet | 20.0 | -7.2 | Notre Dame | 68.5F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 14 | Cold | 20.0 | -7.2 | Virginia Tech | 24.8F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 14 | Cold | 17.0 | -10.2 | Virginia Tech | 30.4F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 13 | Cold | 17.0 | -10.2 | Virginia Tech | 42.4F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 12 | Windy | 17.0 | -10.2 | Georgia Tech | 55.9F | 25.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 2 | Wet | 16.0 | -11.2 | Indiana | 63.0F | 11.4 mph | 0.6 in | No |
| 2024 | 12 | Windy | 14.0 | -13.2 | Notre Dame | 51.3F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 8 | Wet | 14.0 | -13.2 | Miami | 79.0F | 3.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 9 | Wet | 14.0 | -13.2 | Pittsburgh | 53.1F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 4 | Wet | 14.0 | -13.2 | Boise State | 64.9F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 10 | Wet | 13.0 | -14.2 | Pittsburgh | 60.1F | 8.2 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 13 | Cold | 10.0 | -17.2 | Virginia Tech | 40.8F | 13.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 10 | Windy | 10.0 | -17.2 | Georgia Tech | 44.6F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 7 | Wet | 9.0 | -18.2 | Miami | 77.5F | 10.8 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2013 | 14 | Cold | 6.0 | -21.2 | Virginia Tech | 37.9F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 2 | Wet | 3.0 | -24.2 | Illinois | 82.4F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 11 | Cold | 3.0 | -24.2 | Notre Dame | 37.8F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 13 | Cold | 0.0 | -27.2 | Virginia Tech | 44.1F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
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