Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
M. M. Roberts Stadium • Hattiesburg • MS
Weather context
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Southern Missgames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 147 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 25.8 points and an adverse-weather average of 24.7 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2015 vs Louisiana Tech: 32.2 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2014 vs Mississippi State: -25.8 points vs neutral baseline
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 13 | Wet | 58.0 | 32.2 | Louisiana Tech | 71.6F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2018 | 1 | Wet | 55.0 | 29.2 | Jackson State | 75.0F | 6.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 9 | Wet | 49.0 | 23.2 | UL Monroe | 71.8F | 3.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 12 | Cold | 35.0 | 9.2 | Louisiana Tech | 37.6F | 6.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 9 | Windy | 34.0 | 8.2 | UTEP | 77.9F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 3 | Wet | 31.0 | 5.2 | Troy | 75.7F | 5.8 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 6 | Windy | 31.0 | 5.2 | Middle Tennessee | 56.8F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 14 | Windy | 24.0 | -1.8 | UAB | 70.9F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 11 | Cold | 23.0 | -2.8 | UAB | 37.9F | 7.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 8 | Wet | 22.0 | -3.8 | Louisiana | 81.5F | 16.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 8 | Windy | 20.0 | -5.8 | Texas State | 86.0F | 19.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Wet | 20.0 | -5.8 | South Alabama | 46.8F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 13 | Wet | 20.0 | -5.8 | UL Monroe | 64.9F | 7.0 mph | 0.3 in | No |
| 2021 | 5 | Wet | 19.0 | -6.8 | Rice | 80.8F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 10 | Wet | 14.0 | -11.8 | Georgia State | 67.8F | 9.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2013 | 11 | Wet | 13.0 | -12.8 | Louisiana Tech | 52.3F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 6 | Wet | 10.0 | -15.8 | Marshall | 64.0F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 3 | Wet | 9.0 | -16.8 | Troy | 76.8F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 7 | Wet | 7.0 | -18.8 | North Texas | 61.2F | 12.8 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2014 | 1 | Wet | 0.0 | -25.8 | Mississippi State | 71.6F | 3.4 mph | 0.1 in | No |
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Southern Miss weather quick answers
Seasons
2,013-2,025
Weather delta
-1.12