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Weather

Southern Miss Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

M. M. Roberts Stadium • Hattiesburg • MS

Sun BeltWestM. M. Roberts Stadium
Team games analyzed
147
Neutral avg points
25.8
Adverse avg points
24.7
Weather delta
-1.1

Weather context

Southern Miss performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Southern Missgames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 147 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 25.8 points and an adverse-weather average of 24.7 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2015 vs Louisiana Tech: 32.2 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2014 vs Mississippi State: -25.8 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
201513Wet58.032.2Louisiana Tech71.6F10.3 mph0.0 inYes
20181Wet55.029.2Jackson State75.0F6.8 mph0.0 inNo
20259Wet49.023.2UL Monroe71.8F3.1 mph0.0 inNo
202112Cold35.09.2Louisiana Tech37.6F6.3 mph0.0 inYes
20159Windy34.08.2UTEP77.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
20163Wet31.05.2Troy75.7F5.8 mph0.1 inYes
20146Windy31.05.2Middle Tennessee56.8F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201414Windy24.0-1.8UAB70.9F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
201811Cold23.0-2.8UAB37.9F7.3 mph0.0 inNo
20258Wet22.0-3.8Louisiana81.5F16.3 mph0.0 inNo
20228Windy20.0-5.8Texas State86.0F19.9 mph0.0 inNo
202212Wet20.0-5.8South Alabama46.8F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
202213Wet20.0-5.8UL Monroe64.9F7.0 mph0.3 inNo
20215Wet19.0-6.8Rice80.8F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
202210Wet14.0-11.8Georgia State67.8F9.3 mph0.0 inYes
201311Wet13.0-12.8Louisiana Tech52.3F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
20156Wet10.0-15.8Marshall64.0F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
20213Wet9.0-16.8Troy76.8F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
20187Wet7.0-18.8North Texas61.2F12.8 mph0.1 inNo
20141Wet0.0-25.8Mississippi State71.6F3.4 mph0.1 inNo

Quick Answers

Southern Miss weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-1.12

Games in scope
147
Neutral avg points
25.82
Adverse avg points
24.7
Top outlier
Wet (32.18)