Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
SMU Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Gerald J. Ford Stadium • University Park • TX
ACCGerald J. Ford Stadium
Team games analyzed
155
Neutral avg points
34.1
Adverse avg points
31.4
Weather delta
-2.7
Weather context
SMU performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares SMUgames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 155 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 34.1 points and an adverse-weather average of 31.4 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2023 vs Tulsa: 34.9 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2014 vs Baylor: -34.1 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 9 | Wet | 69.0 | 34.9 | Tulsa | 60.6F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 4 | Windy | 66.0 | 31.9 | TCU | 95.9F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2018 | 11 | Windy | 62.0 | 27.9 | UConn | 44.6F | 16.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 6 | Windy | 52.0 | 17.9 | Rutgers | 59.0F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 10 | Wet | 48.0 | 13.9 | Pittsburgh | 75.0F | 11.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 10 | Windy | 45.0 | 10.9 | Houston | 72.0F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2017 | 12 | Windy | 45.0 | 10.9 | Memphis | 71.2F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 4 | Windy | 44.0 | 9.9 | Arkansas State | 91.9F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 5 | Wet | 41.0 | 6.9 | South Florida | 84.0F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 11 | Cold | 40.0 | 5.9 | Navy | 35.6F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 7 | Windy | 37.0 | 2.9 | Tulane | 67.6F | 18.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 14 | Windy | 37.0 | 2.9 | Tulane | 70.5F | 15.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 13 | Wet | 34.0 | -0.1 | Memphis | 49.8F | 12.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 15 | Cold | 31.0 | -3.1 | Clemson | 41.0F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 13 | Wet | 31.0 | -3.1 | Tulsa | 57.0F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2018 | 4 | Wet | 31.0 | -3.1 | Navy | 76.6F | 5.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 13 | Cold | 28.0 | -6.1 | Navy | 43.5F | 5.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 15 | Wet | 27.0 | -7.1 | UConn | 37.0F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2013 | 11 | Windy | 25.0 | -9.1 | Cincinnati | 55.9F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 10 | Windy | 24.0 | -10.1 | UCF | 84.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 2 | Windy | 13.0 | -21.1 | Baylor | 84.0F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 12 | Cold | 13.0 | -21.1 | South Florida | 42.1F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 15 | Cold | 13.0 | -21.1 | UCF | 25.0F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 2 | Wet | 12.0 | -22.1 | TCU | 77.7F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 14 | Windy | 9.0 | -25.1 | Houston | 62.1F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 4 | Windy | 3.0 | -31.1 | TCU | 91.0F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 13 | Wet | 0.0 | -34.1 | Memphis | 57.2F | 5.8 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2014 | 1 | Windy | 0.0 | -34.1 | Baylor | 93.9F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
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