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Texas Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium • Austin • TX

SECDKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Team games analyzed
150
Neutral avg points
32.3
Adverse avg points
30.6
Weather delta
-1.6

Weather context

Texas performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Texasgames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 150 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 32.3 points and an adverse-weather average of 30.6 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2022 vs Kansas: 22.7 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2017 vs TCU: -25.3 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
202212Cold55.022.7Kansas34.9F13.9 mph0.0 inNo
20221Wet52.019.7UL Monroe77.5F4.3 mph0.0 inNo
20186Wet48.015.7Oklahoma77.0F10.1 mph0.0 inYes
201513Wet45.012.7Texas Tech72.0F7.0 mph0.0 inYes
201810Windy41.08.7West Virginia75.9F18.0 mph0.0 inNo
201811Windy41.08.7Texas Tech46.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
20228Windy34.01.7Oklahoma State90.3F21.7 mph0.0 inYes
201410Windy34.01.7Texas Tech63.1F19.7 mph0.0 inNo
20215Wet32.0-0.3TCU79.2F10.6 mph0.0 inNo
201712Wet28.0-4.3West Virginia50.0F4.7 mph0.1 inYes
201412Cold28.0-4.3Oklahoma State43.0F11.4 mph0.0 inYes
202514Windy27.0-5.3Texas A&M63.0F16.2 mph0.0 inYes
20173Windy24.0-8.3USC70.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20187Windy23.0-9.3Baylor86.9F21.8 mph0.0 inNo
20158Wet23.0-9.3Kansas State68.0F9.2 mph0.0 inNo
201912Windy21.0-11.3Iowa State50.4F19.4 mph0.0 inNo
202013Wet20.0-12.3Iowa State66.7F6.2 mph0.0 inNo
201511Cold20.0-12.3West Virginia45.0F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
201315Cold10.0-22.3Baylor25.0F10.3 mph0.0 inNo
201710Windy7.0-25.3TCU86.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo

Quick Answers

Texas weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-1.64

Games in scope
150
Neutral avg points
32.29
Adverse avg points
30.65
Top outlier
Windy (-25.29)