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Oregon Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Autzen Stadium • Eugene • OR

Big TenAutzen Stadium
Team games analyzed
149
Neutral avg points
41.0
Adverse avg points
35.9
Weather delta
-5.1

Weather context

Oregon performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Oregongames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 149 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 41.0 points and an adverse-weather average of 35.9 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2017 vs Oregon State: 28.0 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2017 vs Washington: -38.0 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
201713Cold69.028.0Oregon State43.0F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
202310Wet63.022.0California60.8F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
20181Windy58.017.0Bowling Green75.9F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
201813Wet55.014.0Oregon State50.5F13.3 mph0.0 inNo
20135Wet55.014.0California63.0F28.8 mph0.5 inNo
201513Cold52.011.0Oregon State42.1F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
202414Cold49.08.0Washington37.2F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
20213Wet48.07.0Stony Brook60.6F10.6 mph0.0 inNo
201712Cold48.07.0Arizona43.0F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
201512Cold48.07.0USC45.0F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
201414Cold47.06.0Oregon State39.2F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
20228Wet45.04.0UCLA50.9F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
202011Cold43.02.0Washington State41.5F8.5 mph0.0 inNo
202513Cold42.01.0USC44.4F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
20155Wet41.00.0Colorado51.8F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
20232Windy38.0-3.0Texas Tech94.1F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
202012Cold38.0-3.0UCLA37.0F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
202013Cold38.0-3.0Oregon State37.4F0.4 mph0.0 inYes
20156Windy38.0-3.0Washington State69.1F18.3 mph0.0 inYes
201915Windy37.0-4.0Utah63.0F15.0 mph0.0 inYes
20239Cold35.0-6.0Utah43.5F11.4 mph0.0 inNo
202010Windy35.0-6.0Stanford48.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20198Wet35.0-6.0Washington46.9F4.0 mph0.0 inNo
202211Cold34.0-7.0Washington44.4F3.7 mph0.0 inYes
202313Cold31.0-10.0Oregon State33.8F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
20184Windy31.0-10.0Stanford68.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20255Wet30.0-11.0Penn State66.6F4.3 mph0.0 inYes
20187Windy30.0-11.0Washington55.9F15.0 mph0.0 inYes
201612Windy30.0-11.0Utah51.8F24.2 mph0.0 inYes
202110Wet26.0-15.0Washington44.6F12.4 mph0.0 inNo
20157Wet26.0-15.0Washington62.1F4.7 mph0.0 inYes
201914Cold24.0-17.0Oregon State32.0F9.2 mph0.0 inNo
202212Cold20.0-21.0Utah26.4F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
20154Windy20.0-21.0Utah69.8F16.1 mph0.0 inYes
202511Wet18.0-23.0Iowa42.6F5.6 mph0.0 inNo
20196Windy17.0-24.0California64.9F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
202412Windy16.0-25.0Wisconsin47.5F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
201313Wet16.0-25.0Arizona51.8F10.3 mph0.1 inYes
202112Cold7.0-34.0Utah39.6F5.6 mph0.0 inNo
201710Wet3.0-38.0Washington41.0F5.8 mph0.0 inNo

Quick Answers

Oregon weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-5.05

Games in scope
149
Neutral avg points
40.95
Adverse avg points
35.9
Top outlier
Wet (-37.95)