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Houston Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

TDECU Stadium • Houston • TX

Big 12TDECU Stadium
Team games analyzed
140
Neutral avg points
31.9
Adverse avg points
33.4
Weather delta
1.5

Weather context

Houston performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Houstongames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 140 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 31.9 points and an adverse-weather average of 33.4 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2018 vs Texas Southern: 38.1 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2023 vs Kansas State: -31.9 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
20184Wet70.038.1Texas Southern75.4F6.3 mph0.0 inNo
20158Windy59.027.1UCF78.1F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20183Windy49.017.1Texas Tech82.0F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
20195Windy46.014.1North Texas91.0F17.3 mph0.0 inYes
20213Wet45.013.1Grambling84.2F4.3 mph0.0 inNo
20215Wet45.013.1Tulsa76.5F5.6 mph0.0 inYes
202113Windy45.013.1UConn39.2F17.4 mph0.0 inNo
202211Windy43.011.1Temple56.1F20.5 mph0.0 inNo
20166Wet40.08.1Navy68.0F4.7 mph0.1 inYes
202111Windy37.05.1Temple57.2F19.9 mph0.0 inNo
201414Windy35.03.1SMU62.1F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
20159Wet34.02.1Vanderbilt69.8F10.3 mph0.0 inNo
201510Wet33.01.1Cincinnati68.0F16.1 mph0.1 inNo
20258Wet31.0-0.9Arizona83.3F9.2 mph0.0 inYes
20218Wet31.0-0.9East Carolina80.6F16.2 mph0.0 inNo
201810Windy31.0-0.9SMU72.0F17.2 mph0.0 inYes
201415Wet31.0-0.9Cincinnati39.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
20223Wet30.0-1.9Kansas88.5F17.4 mph0.1 inYes
20235Windy28.0-3.9Texas Tech85.1F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201410Windy27.0-4.9South Florida63.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
20143Windy25.0-6.9BYU63.9F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
202410Wet24.0-7.9Kansas State77.7F8.1 mph0.1 inYes
201913Cold24.0-7.9Tulsa43.2F3.4 mph0.0 inYes
20175Windy20.0-11.9Temple62.1F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
202414Cold18.0-13.9BYU27.5F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
20231Windy17.0-14.9UTSA92.1F16.1 mph0.0 inYes
20177Windy17.0-14.9Tulsa90.0F18.3 mph0.0 inYes
20239Cold0.0-31.9Kansas State37.9F10.3 mph0.0 inNo

Quick Answers

Houston weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

1.52

Games in scope
140
Neutral avg points
31.88
Adverse avg points
33.39
Top outlier
Wet (38.13)