Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
Nevada Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Mackay Stadium • Reno • NV
Mountain WestMackay Stadium
Team games analyzed
149
Neutral avg points
26.8
Adverse avg points
23.3
Weather delta
-3.5
Weather context
Nevada performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Nevadagames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 149 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 26.8 points and an adverse-weather average of 23.3 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2021 vs Colorado State: 25.2 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2024 vs Minnesota: -26.8 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 13 | Cold | 52.0 | 25.2 | Colorado State | 39.0F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 11 | Cold | 49.0 | 22.2 | Colorado State | 34.5F | 2.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 5 | Windy | 45.0 | 18.2 | Air Force | 68.0F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 7 | Cold | 42.0 | 15.2 | Colorado State | 42.1F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 1 | Windy | 38.0 | 11.2 | Texas State | 98.2F | 19.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 12 | Windy | 38.0 | 11.2 | Utah State | 53.6F | 27.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 12 | Windy | 38.0 | 11.2 | Air Force | 22.1F | 23.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2013 | 12 | Cold | 38.0 | 11.2 | San José State | 41.0F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 14 | Cold | 37.0 | 10.2 | Fresno State | 42.1F | 4.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 3 | Windy | 37.0 | 10.2 | Oregon State | 70.7F | 18.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 6 | Windy | 35.0 | 8.2 | Hawai'i | 64.4F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 6 | Windy | 35.0 | 8.2 | New Mexico | 78.8F | 24.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 9 | Cold | 34.0 | 7.2 | New Mexico | 36.3F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | — |
| 2019 | 14 | Cold | 30.0 | 3.2 | UNLV | 26.8F | 3.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 1 | Windy | 30.0 | 3.2 | Cal Poly | 75.2F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 10 | Cold | 30.0 | 3.2 | San Diego State | 39.2F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 1 | Windy | 28.0 | 1.2 | Southern Utah | 80.6F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 11 | Windy | 27.0 | 0.2 | New Mexico | 57.4F | 22.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 12 | Cold | 27.0 | 0.2 | Utah State | 35.1F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 12 | Cold | 26.0 | -0.8 | San Diego State | 40.6F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 10 | Windy | 26.0 | -0.8 | New Mexico | 55.9F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 8 | Cold | 21.0 | -5.8 | Fresno State | 43.3F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 13 | Cold | 20.0 | -6.8 | Fresno State | 39.2F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 13 | Cold | 19.0 | -7.8 | Air Force | 39.2F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 3 | Windy | 19.0 | -7.8 | Weber State | 88.5F | 16.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 14 | Cold | 17.0 | -9.8 | UNLV | 42.1F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 2 | Windy | 17.0 | -9.8 | Georgia Southern | 89.2F | 20.5 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 5 | Windy | 17.0 | -9.8 | Hawai'i | 80.1F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 5 | Windy | 17.0 | -9.8 | UNLV | 69.8F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2025 | 11 | Cold | 14.0 | -12.8 | Utah State | 40.3F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Cold | 14.0 | -12.8 | Fresno State | 27.3F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 10 | Cold | 14.0 | -12.8 | Boise State | 43.0F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 9 | Windy | 13.0 | -13.8 | Hawai'i | 76.6F | 24.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 8 | Cold | 10.0 | -16.8 | Utah State | 37.6F | 4.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 2 | Wet | 10.0 | -16.8 | Notre Dame | 68.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 7 | Wet | 10.0 | -16.8 | San José State | 68.0F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 8 | Cold | 7.0 | -19.8 | San Diego State | 43.9F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 2 | Windy | 6.0 | -20.8 | Idaho | 85.3F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 13 | Cold | 6.0 | -20.8 | Wyoming | 34.9F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 11 | Wet | 3.0 | -23.8 | Boise State | 33.3F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 5 | Wet | 3.0 | -23.8 | Hawai'i | 38.1F | 7.5 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2018 | 6 | Wet | 3.0 | -23.8 | Fresno State | 49.1F | 12.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 3 | Wet | 0.0 | -26.8 | Minnesota | 75.2F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
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