Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
Middle Tennessee Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium • Murfreesboro • TN
Conference USAJohnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Team games analyzed
149
Neutral avg points
26.4
Adverse avg points
36.5
Weather delta
10.0
Weather context
Middle Tennessee performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Middle Tennesseegames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 149 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 26.4 points and an adverse-weather average of 36.5 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2015 vs Charlotte: 46.6 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2021 vs Liberty: -13.4 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 3 | Windy | 73.0 | 46.6 | Charlotte | 81.9F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 1 | Cold | 70.0 | 43.6 | Jackson State | 32.0F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | — |
| 2013 | 9 | Windy | 51.0 | 24.6 | Marshall | 47.8F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 9 | Windy | 50.0 | 23.6 | Florida International | 73.8F | 20.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 12 | Cold | 49.0 | 22.6 | Florida Atlantic | 44.6F | 10.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 4 | Wet | 45.0 | 18.6 | Miami | 79.0F | 3.4 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 9 | Wet | 42.0 | 15.6 | Florida International | 77.0F | 13.9 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2013 | 4 | Cold | 42.0 | 15.6 | Florida Atlantic | 21.0F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 3 | Wet | 41.0 | 14.6 | Bowling Green | 69.1F | 8.1 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2015 | 12 | Windy | 41.0 | 14.6 | North Texas | 61.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 13 | Wet | 38.0 | 11.6 | Old Dominion | 45.0F | 12.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 12 | Windy | 38.0 | 11.6 | Charlotte | 68.0F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 6 | Windy | 37.0 | 10.6 | Southern Miss | 56.8F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 3 | Wet | 35.0 | 8.6 | Murray State | 69.8F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 8 | Windy | 34.0 | 7.6 | UAB | 63.9F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 14 | Wet | 26.0 | -0.4 | Western Kentucky | 55.0F | 13.7 mph | 0.2 in | No |
| 2018 | 14 | Wet | 25.0 | -1.4 | UAB | 60.3F | 12.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 11 | Cold | 24.0 | -2.4 | Charlotte | 35.6F | 10.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 10 | Windy | 24.0 | -2.4 | UAB | 66.2F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 12 | Cold | 23.0 | -3.4 | Kentucky | 40.8F | 3.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 10 | Wet | 21.0 | -5.4 | Jacksonville State | 51.8F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 11 | Cold | 17.0 | -9.4 | Marshall | 44.1F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 8 | Wet | 16.0 | -10.4 | Louisiana Tech | 71.1F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 6 | Wet | 13.0 | -13.4 | Liberty | 68.2F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
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