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Weather

Baylor Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

McLane Stadium • Waco • TX

Big 12McLane Stadium
Team games analyzed
146
Neutral avg points
34.6
Adverse avg points
34.8
Weather delta
0.1

Weather context

Baylor performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Baylorgames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 146 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 34.6 points and an adverse-weather average of 34.8 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2013 vs West Virginia: 38.4 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2022 vs Kansas State: -31.6 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
20136Windy73.038.4West Virginia61.0F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
20142Wet70.035.4Northwestern State75.9F8.1 mph0.6 inNo
201914Windy61.026.4Kansas57.2F20.3 mph0.0 inNo
20248Windy59.024.4Texas Tech70.0F20.5 mph0.0 inYes
20181Windy55.020.4Abilene Christian93.4F16.2 mph0.0 inNo
20167Windy49.014.4Kansas89.1F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201413Wet49.014.4Oklahoma State61.0F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
201411Windy48.013.4Oklahoma59.0F18.3 mph0.0 inYes
20158Wet45.010.4Iowa State66.0F13.9 mph0.1 inNo
201512Cold45.010.4Oklahoma State36.0F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
20141Windy45.010.4SMU93.9F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
20174Windy41.06.4Oklahoma93.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201314Windy41.06.4TCU64.4F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
20162Windy40.05.4SMU84.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
202210Windy38.03.4Oklahoma59.0F18.3 mph0.0 inYes
201710Cold38.03.4Kansas45.0F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
202410Wet37.02.4TCU75.7F19.9 mph0.0 inNo
20258Wet36.01.4TCU75.4F13.2 mph0.2 inNo
20235Wet36.01.4UCF86.2F11.4 mph0.0 inYes
20228Windy35.00.4Kansas81.1F25.5 mph0.0 inNo
201810Windy35.00.4Oklahoma State67.5F17.3 mph0.0 inYes
202013Wet32.0-2.6Kansas State54.5F8.7 mph0.1 inNo
202313Wet31.0-3.6West Virginia52.3F3.7 mph0.1 inNo
201315Cold30.0-4.6Texas25.0F10.3 mph0.0 inNo
202212Cold28.0-6.6TCU39.6F13.9 mph0.0 inNo
202113Wet27.0-7.6Texas Tech54.1F9.3 mph0.0 inNo
202011Windy23.0-11.6Texas Tech78.1F28.8 mph0.0 inNo
201614Cold21.0-13.6West Virginia37.9F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
201513Wet21.0-13.6TCU39.9F13.9 mph0.0 inYes
20175Windy20.0-14.6Kansas State81.0F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
20239Wet18.0-16.6Iowa State72.1F6.8 mph0.0 inNo
20187Windy17.0-17.6Texas86.9F21.8 mph0.0 inNo
201313Cold17.0-17.6Oklahoma State34.0F11.4 mph0.0 inYes
20177Windy16.0-18.6Oklahoma State89.1F20.8 mph0.0 inNo
20189Cold14.0-20.6West Virginia43.5F3.6 mph0.0 inNo
201811Cold14.0-20.6Iowa State23.9F13.0 mph0.0 inNo
201712Windy13.0-21.6Iowa State71.1F19.7 mph0.0 inNo
202211Cold3.0-31.6Kansas State41.5F5.8 mph0.0 inYes

Quick Answers

Baylor weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

0.14

Games in scope
146
Neutral avg points
34.62
Adverse avg points
34.76
Top outlier
Windy (38.38)