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Weather

Liberty Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Williams Stadium (VA) • Lynchburg • VA

Conference USAWilliams Stadium (VA)
Team games analyzed
98
Neutral avg points
31.8
Adverse avg points
36.1
Weather delta
4.4

Weather context

Liberty performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Libertygames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 98 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 31.8 points and an adverse-weather average of 36.1 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2019 vs Massachusetts: 31.2 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2018 vs North Texas: -24.8 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
201910Cold63.031.2Massachusetts43.9F2.3 mph0.0 inNo
201810Windy59.027.2Massachusetts52.2F23.9 mph0.0 in
20147Wet55.023.2App State66.7F12.7 mph0.1 inYes
201814Cold52.020.2Norfolk State39.9F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
202314Wet49.017.2New Mexico State44.8F4.3 mph0.0 inNo
201914Cold49.017.2New Mexico State42.1F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
20213Wet45.013.2Old Dominion80.8F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
202514Cold42.010.2Kennesaw State37.6F4.3 mph0.0 inNo
202313Windy42.010.2UTEP65.1F23.0 mph0.0 inNo
20216Wet41.09.2Middle Tennessee68.2F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
20186Windy41.09.2New Mexico State82.9F20.4 mph0.0 inYes
20155Wet41.09.2Georgia State62.1F9.2 mph0.0 inYes
20206Wet40.08.2UL Monroe64.0F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
20234Wet38.06.2Florida International82.0F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
202412Windy35.03.2Massachusetts60.8F19.9 mph0.0 inNo
20244Wet35.03.2East Carolina81.1F10.3 mph0.4 inNo
20218Windy35.03.2North Texas86.0F20.5 mph0.0 inNo
201813Wet28.0-3.8New Mexico State39.9F0.0 mph0.3 inNo
201913Cold27.0-4.8Virginia39.7F5.6 mph0.0 inNo
201811Cold24.0-7.8Virginia43.3F12.7 mph0.0 inNo
20222Wet21.0-10.8UAB70.0F9.3 mph0.2 inYes
202112Cold14.0-17.8Louisiana43.0F2.7 mph0.0 inYes
20254Wet13.0-18.8James Madison71.6F11.2 mph0.1 inNo
20255Wet7.0-24.8Old Dominion71.6F9.3 mph0.0 inNo
20184Wet7.0-24.8North Texas73.9F12.7 mph0.1 inNo

Quick Answers

Liberty weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

4.35

Games in scope
98
Neutral avg points
31.77
Adverse avg points
36.12
Top outlier
Cold (31.23)