Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Williams Stadium (VA) • Lynchburg • VA
Weather context
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Libertygames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 98 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 31.8 points and an adverse-weather average of 36.1 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2019 vs Massachusetts: 31.2 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2018 vs North Texas: -24.8 points vs neutral baseline
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 10 | Cold | 63.0 | 31.2 | Massachusetts | 43.9F | 2.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 10 | Windy | 59.0 | 27.2 | Massachusetts | 52.2F | 23.9 mph | 0.0 in | — |
| 2014 | 7 | Wet | 55.0 | 23.2 | App State | 66.7F | 12.7 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2018 | 14 | Cold | 52.0 | 20.2 | Norfolk State | 39.9F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 14 | Wet | 49.0 | 17.2 | New Mexico State | 44.8F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 14 | Cold | 49.0 | 17.2 | New Mexico State | 42.1F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 3 | Wet | 45.0 | 13.2 | Old Dominion | 80.8F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 14 | Cold | 42.0 | 10.2 | Kennesaw State | 37.6F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 13 | Windy | 42.0 | 10.2 | UTEP | 65.1F | 23.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 6 | Wet | 41.0 | 9.2 | Middle Tennessee | 68.2F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 6 | Windy | 41.0 | 9.2 | New Mexico State | 82.9F | 20.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 5 | Wet | 41.0 | 9.2 | Georgia State | 62.1F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 6 | Wet | 40.0 | 8.2 | UL Monroe | 64.0F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 4 | Wet | 38.0 | 6.2 | Florida International | 82.0F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 12 | Windy | 35.0 | 3.2 | Massachusetts | 60.8F | 19.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 4 | Wet | 35.0 | 3.2 | East Carolina | 81.1F | 10.3 mph | 0.4 in | No |
| 2021 | 8 | Windy | 35.0 | 3.2 | North Texas | 86.0F | 20.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 13 | Wet | 28.0 | -3.8 | New Mexico State | 39.9F | 0.0 mph | 0.3 in | No |
| 2019 | 13 | Cold | 27.0 | -4.8 | Virginia | 39.7F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 11 | Cold | 24.0 | -7.8 | Virginia | 43.3F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 2 | Wet | 21.0 | -10.8 | UAB | 70.0F | 9.3 mph | 0.2 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 12 | Cold | 14.0 | -17.8 | Louisiana | 43.0F | 2.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2025 | 4 | Wet | 13.0 | -18.8 | James Madison | 71.6F | 11.2 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2025 | 5 | Wet | 7.0 | -24.8 | Old Dominion | 71.6F | 9.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 4 | Wet | 7.0 | -24.8 | North Texas | 73.9F | 12.7 mph | 0.1 in | No |
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Liberty weather quick answers
Seasons
2,013-2,025
Weather delta
4.35