Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
San José State Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
CEFCU Stadium • San Jose • CA
Mountain WestCEFCU Stadium
Team games analyzed
148
Neutral avg points
25.7
Adverse avg points
22.1
Weather delta
-3.7
Weather context
San José State performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares San José Stategames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 148 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 25.7 points and an adverse-weather average of 22.1 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2015 vs New Hampshire: 17.3 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2014 vs Utah State: -18.7 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 1 | Windy | 43.0 | 17.3 | New Hampshire | 66.9F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | — |
| 2023 | 9 | Windy | 35.0 | 9.3 | Hawai'i | 77.0F | 16.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 6 | Windy | 32.0 | 6.3 | New Mexico | 64.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Cold | 31.0 | 5.3 | Utah State | 20.1F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 10 | Windy | 31.0 | 5.3 | Colorado State | 60.1F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 10 | Wet | 28.0 | 2.3 | Colorado State | 61.0F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 8 | Windy | 27.0 | 1.3 | Wyoming | 66.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2017 | 7 | Windy | 26.0 | 0.3 | Hawai'i | 84.0F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 12 | Wet | 24.0 | -1.7 | San Diego State | 61.0F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 14 | Windy | 17.0 | -8.7 | Fresno State | 53.1F | 19.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 13 | Wet | 16.0 | -9.7 | UNLV | 59.2F | 21.7 mph | 0.3 in | No |
| 2013 | 12 | Cold | 16.0 | -9.7 | Nevada | 41.0F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 6 | Windy | 14.0 | -11.7 | Colorado State | 69.8F | 20.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 12 | Cold | 14.0 | -11.7 | Colorado State | 45.0F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 7 | Wet | 14.0 | -11.7 | Nevada | 68.0F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 5 | Windy | 12.0 | -13.7 | Utah State | 73.9F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 4 | Windy | 10.0 | -15.7 | Utah State | 80.1F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 13 | Cold | 7.0 | -18.7 | Utah State | 32.0F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
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