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Weather

Eastern Michigan Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Rynearson Stadium • Ypsilanti • MI

Mid-AmericanRynearson Stadium
Team games analyzed
148
Neutral avg points
26.1
Adverse avg points
24.7
Weather delta
-1.3

Weather context

Eastern Michigan performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Eastern Michigangames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 148 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 26.1 points and an adverse-weather average of 24.7 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2017 vs Ball State: 29.9 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2014 vs Old Dominion: -23.1 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
201710Wet56.029.9Ball State61.0F9.2 mph0.0 inNo
202014Cold53.026.9Western Michigan35.1F6.0 mph0.0 inYes
202110Cold52.025.9Toledo41.4F4.3 mph0.0 inYes
201611Wet48.021.9Ball State55.9F8.1 mph0.0 inYes
20226Windy45.018.9Western Michigan50.2F15.0 mph0.0 inYes
201913Cold45.018.9Northern Illinois37.8F1.4 mph0.0 inYes
201912Cold42.015.9Akron19.9F9.1 mph0.0 inNo
20188Windy42.015.9Ball State58.6F24.6 mph0.0 inNo
202015Wet41.014.9Northern Illinois52.3F16.6 mph0.0 inNo
201311Windy35.08.9Western Michigan57.0F18.3 mph0.0 inYes
20199Wet34.07.9Toledo51.6F11.0 mph0.0 inNo
201713Wet34.07.9Bowling Green41.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
202212Cold31.04.9Kent State32.5F10.6 mph0.0 inYes
202011Cold31.04.9Ball State37.2F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
202312Cold30.03.9Akron32.2F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
201711Cold30.03.9Central Michigan36.7F4.7 mph0.0 inYes
202012Cold28.01.9Toledo39.6F11.3 mph0.0 inNo
201813Cold28.01.9Kent State41.4F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
20165Wet28.01.9Bowling Green64.0F3.4 mph0.0 inYes
20159Windy28.01.9Western Michigan46.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201513Cold28.01.9Central Michigan38.3F10.3 mph0.0 inNo
20138Wet28.01.9Ohio46.9F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
202511Wet27.00.9Bowling Green43.0F5.6 mph0.0 inNo
201811Windy27.00.9Akron32.9F15.8 mph0.0 inNo
202111Wet26.0-0.1Ohio48.4F3.7 mph0.0 inYes
201914Cold26.0-0.1Kent State36.0F1.5 mph0.0 inYes
201613Cold26.0-0.1Central Michigan33.1F8.1 mph0.0 inYes
202512Windy24.0-2.1Ball State69.8F18.6 mph0.0 inNo
20236Wet24.0-2.1Ball State55.8F16.3 mph0.0 inNo
202313Wet24.0-2.1Buffalo43.3F10.6 mph0.0 inYes
201612Cold24.0-2.1Northern Illinois44.1F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
202013Cold23.0-3.1Central Michigan44.8F8.6 mph0.0 inNo
20197Wet23.0-3.1Ball State48.2F11.4 mph0.0 inYes
202112Cold22.0-4.1Western Michigan35.8F5.6 mph0.0 inYes
20189Cold22.0-4.1Army43.5F11.5 mph0.0 inNo
20222Wet21.0-5.1Louisiana84.4F6.8 mph0.0 inNo
20158Windy21.0-5.1Northern Illinois57.9F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
202413Cold20.0-6.1Buffalo35.8F10.6 mph0.0 inYes
20215Wet20.0-6.1Northern Illinois70.5F16.2 mph0.1 in
20182Wet20.0-6.1Purdue61.0F10.3 mph0.1 inYes
20166Windy20.0-6.1Toledo63.0F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
20134Windy20.0-6.1Ball State68.0F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
20139Windy20.0-6.1Northern Illinois52.2F19.7 mph0.0 inNo
202414Cold18.0-8.1Western Michigan23.4F12.7 mph0.0 inNo
20153Windy17.0-9.1Ball State73.0F20.8 mph0.0 inNo
20149Windy17.0-9.1Northern Illinois64.9F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
201414Cold16.0-10.1Toledo30.0F12.7 mph0.0 inNo
201310Cold16.0-10.1Toledo44.6F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
201910Cold14.0-12.1Buffalo43.2F11.8 mph0.0 inNo
20144Windy14.0-12.1Michigan State71.1F20.8 mph0.0 inNo
20148Wet14.0-12.1Massachusetts66.9F7.0 mph0.1 inNo
20238Windy13.0-13.1Northern Illinois55.8F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
20216Wet13.0-13.1Miami (OH)73.6F9.3 mph0.0 inYes
20227Windy10.0-16.1Northern Illinois52.2F15.0 mph0.0 inYes
202113Cold10.0-16.1Central Michigan28.2F10.6 mph0.0 inNo
201314Cold10.0-16.1Central Michigan23.4F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
201410Windy7.0-19.1Central Michigan43.0F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
201412Cold7.0-19.1Western Michigan30.0F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
201313Windy7.0-19.1Bowling Green30.9F26.4 mph0.0 inNo
20232Wet6.0-20.1Minnesota66.2F9.2 mph0.0 inNo
20143Wet3.0-23.1Old Dominion75.0F0.0 mph0.0 inNo

Quick Answers

Eastern Michigan weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-1.34

Games in scope
148
Neutral avg points
26.08
Adverse avg points
24.74
Top outlier
Wet (29.92)