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Cincinnati Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Nippert Stadium • Cincinnati • OH

Big 12Nippert Stadium
Team games analyzed
153
Neutral avg points
30.9
Adverse avg points
30.1
Weather delta
-0.8

Weather context

Cincinnati performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Cincinnatigames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 153 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 30.9 points and an adverse-weather average of 30.1 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2021 vs UCF: 25.1 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2023 vs Iowa State: -20.9 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
20217Windy56.025.1UCF59.7F19.9 mph0.0 inNo
202011Cold55.024.1East Carolina40.5F3.6 mph0.0 inNo
201412Cold54.023.1East Carolina28.0F7.0 mph0.0 inYes
20151Wet52.021.1Alabama A&M73.9F11.4 mph0.1 in
20258Windy49.018.1Oklahoma State67.5F17.6 mph0.0 inNo
201511Cold49.018.1Tulsa41.0F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
20212Windy42.011.1Murray State79.5F17.4 mph0.0 inNo
201413Cold41.010.1UConn41.0F11.4 mph0.0 inNo
20138Wet41.010.1UConn46.9F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
201415Wet38.07.1Houston39.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201613Cold37.06.1Tulsa41.0F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
20153Wet37.06.1Miami (OH)71.1F12.7 mph0.0 inNo
20158Wet37.06.1UConn66.9F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
201811Cold35.04.1South Florida28.6F1.5 mph0.0 inNo
201510Wet30.0-0.9Houston68.0F16.1 mph0.1 inNo
201311Windy28.0-2.9SMU55.9F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
20242Windy27.0-3.9Pittsburgh66.9F18.6 mph0.0 inYes
202016Wet27.0-3.9Tulsa38.8F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
20215Wet24.0-6.9Notre Dame73.6F9.3 mph0.0 inNo
201711Cold24.0-6.9Temple30.0F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
201315Wet24.0-6.9Louisville37.0F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
202212Cold23.0-7.9Temple41.0F12.7 mph0.0 inNo
20182Wet21.0-9.9Miami (OH)63.0F15.8 mph0.1 inYes
202210Wet20.0-10.9Navy73.9F19.9 mph0.0 inNo
202313Cold16.0-14.9Kansas34.0F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
201913Cold15.0-15.9Temple38.3F9.1 mph0.0 inNo
202513Cold14.0-16.9BYU36.5F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
201414Cold14.0-16.9Temple33.1F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
20134Windy14.0-16.9Miami (OH)73.9F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
202414Cold13.0-17.9TCU32.9F13.9 mph0.0 inNo
20239Cold13.0-17.9Oklahoma State40.3F13.9 mph0.0 inNo
20169Windy13.0-17.9Temple68.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
20237Windy10.0-20.9Iowa State61.0F15.0 mph0.0 inYes

Quick Answers

Cincinnati weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-0.82

Games in scope
153
Neutral avg points
30.91
Adverse avg points
30.09
Top outlier
Windy (25.09)