Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
Penn State Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Beaver Stadium • University Park • PA
Big TenBeaver Stadium
Team games analyzed
150
Neutral avg points
33.0
Adverse avg points
30.1
Weather delta
-2.9
Weather context
Penn State performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Penn Stategames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 150 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 33.0 points and an adverse-weather average of 30.1 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2023 vs Delaware: 30.0 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2013 vs Minnesota: -23.0 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2 | Wet | 63.0 | 30.0 | Delaware | 77.4F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 7 | Wet | 63.0 | 30.0 | Massachusetts | 46.8F | 10.3 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2024 | 4 | Wet | 56.0 | 23.0 | Kent State | 70.2F | 4.7 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2020 | 16 | Wet | 56.0 | 23.0 | Illinois | 30.6F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 12 | Wet | 56.0 | 23.0 | Nebraska | 39.2F | 0.0 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Cold | 55.0 | 22.0 | Rutgers | 39.2F | 6.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 2 | Wet | 51.0 | 18.0 | Pittsburgh | 57.0F | 12.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 10 | Wet | 45.0 | 12.0 | Indiana | 67.3F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 13 | Cold | 45.0 | 12.0 | Michigan State | 39.2F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 14 | Cold | 44.0 | 11.0 | Maryland | 25.2F | 12.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 14 | Cold | 40.0 | 7.0 | Rutgers | 41.0F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 15 | Cold | 39.0 | 6.0 | Michigan State | 44.6F | 3.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 2 | Windy | 39.0 | 6.0 | Pittsburgh | 82.9F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 13 | Wet | 38.0 | 5.0 | Maryland | 34.5F | 5.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 9 | Cold | 38.0 | 5.0 | Ohio State | 41.0F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 6 | Wet | 38.0 | 5.0 | Maryland | 60.8F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 13 | Cold | 37.0 | 4.0 | Nebraska | 37.6F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 11 | Cold | 35.0 | 2.0 | Washington | 41.4F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 11 | Cold | 35.0 | 2.0 | Rutgers | 28.4F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 12 | Cold | 34.0 | 1.0 | Indiana | 32.9F | 10.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 4 | Wet | 34.0 | 1.0 | Kent State | 64.4F | 13.9 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2018 | 8 | Windy | 33.0 | -0.0 | Indiana | 61.0F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 4 | Wet | 31.0 | -2.0 | Iowa | 54.0F | 11.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 6 | Windy | 31.0 | -2.0 | Northwestern | 77.0F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 14 | Cold | 31.0 | -2.0 | Wisconsin | 43.0F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 11 | Wet | 30.0 | -3.0 | Maryland | 50.4F | 3.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 9 | Wet | 30.0 | -3.0 | Iowa | 41.9F | 9.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 12 | Cold | 30.0 | -3.0 | Temple | 33.8F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 12 | Cold | 28.0 | -5.0 | Rutgers | 39.6F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 12 | Cold | 27.0 | -6.0 | Rutgers | 45.0F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 13 | Cold | 27.0 | -6.0 | Michigan State | 28.4F | 9.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 13 | Cold | 27.0 | -6.0 | Michigan | 42.3F | 9.9 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 14 | Cold | 27.0 | -6.0 | Rutgers | 34.9F | 7.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 13 | Cold | 26.0 | -7.0 | Minnesota | 39.2F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 11 | Cold | 26.0 | -7.0 | Minnesota | 39.7F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 9 | Cold | 25.0 | -8.0 | Ohio State | 40.1F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 5 | Wet | 24.0 | -9.0 | Oregon | 66.6F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 9 | Wet | 24.0 | -9.0 | Ohio State | 55.8F | 7.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 10 | Cold | 24.0 | -9.0 | Michigan State | 41.0F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 8 | Wet | 24.0 | -9.0 | Ohio State | 42.8F | 13.9 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2013 | 6 | Wet | 24.0 | -9.0 | Indiana | 71.1F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 14 | Wet | 23.0 | -10.0 | Rutgers | 43.5F | 11.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 11 | Windy | 22.0 | -11.0 | Wisconsin | 31.6F | 26.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 10 | Windy | 21.0 | -12.0 | Northwestern | 51.1F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 5 | Wet | 20.0 | -13.0 | Army | 42.8F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2013 | 13 | Windy | 20.0 | -13.0 | Nebraska | 37.4F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 10 | Cold | 19.0 | -14.0 | Maryland | 42.8F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 8 | Wet | 18.0 | -15.0 | Illinois | 46.8F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 5 | Wet | 17.0 | -16.0 | Northwestern | 52.2F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 7 | Windy | 17.0 | -16.0 | Michigan | 51.1F | 17.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 11 | Wet | 17.0 | -16.0 | Michigan | 39.6F | 19.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 13 | Cold | 17.0 | -16.0 | Ohio State | 39.9F | 7.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 3 | Wet | 17.0 | -16.0 | Pittsburgh | 65.8F | 8.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 12 | Cold | 16.0 | -17.0 | Michigan | 42.8F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 13 | Cold | 16.0 | -17.0 | Michigan State | 35.1F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 13 | Windy | 14.0 | -19.0 | Illinois | 51.1F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2013 | 9 | Cold | 14.0 | -19.0 | Ohio State | 43.0F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 7 | Cold | 10.0 | -23.0 | Ohio State | 42.1F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 14 | Cold | 10.0 | -23.0 | Michigan State | 33.8F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 11 | Cold | 10.0 | -23.0 | Minnesota | 43.0F | 13.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
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