Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
Central Michigan Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Kelly/Shorts Stadium • Mount Pleasant • MI
Mid-AmericanKelly/Shorts Stadium
Team games analyzed
146
Neutral avg points
25.0
Adverse avg points
27.6
Weather delta
2.7
Weather context
Central Michigan performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Central Michigangames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 146 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 25.0 points and an adverse-weather average of 27.6 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2021 vs Kent State: 29.0 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2025 vs Toledo: -22.0 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 11 | Cold | 54.0 | 29.0 | Kent State | 44.4F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 7 | Windy | 51.0 | 26.0 | Buffalo | 45.5F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 14 | Cold | 49.0 | 24.0 | Toledo | 32.9F | 0.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 10 | Cold | 48.0 | 23.0 | Northern Illinois | 42.4F | 8.9 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 12 | Cold | 45.0 | 20.0 | Ball State | 41.0F | 12.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 12 | Cold | 44.0 | 19.0 | Western Michigan | 40.5F | 9.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 10 | Cold | 42.0 | 17.0 | Western Michigan | 39.4F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 7 | Windy | 42.0 | 17.0 | New Mexico State | 48.9F | 16.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 11 | Cold | 42.0 | 17.0 | Eastern Michigan | 36.7F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2017 | 12 | Cold | 42.0 | 17.0 | Kent State | 36.1F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 14 | Cold | 42.0 | 17.0 | Eastern Michigan | 23.4F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 11 | Cold | 40.0 | 15.0 | Northern Illinois | 35.6F | 4.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 12 | Cold | 38.0 | 13.0 | Buffalo | 37.2F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 1 | Wet | 38.0 | 13.0 | UAlbany | 69.8F | 8.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 10 | Windy | 38.0 | 13.0 | Eastern Michigan | 43.0F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 10 | Wet | 37.0 | 12.0 | Northern Illinois | 32.4F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 12 | Wet | 37.0 | 12.0 | Ball State | 62.6F | 14.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 13 | Cold | 37.0 | 12.0 | Massachusetts | 22.3F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 10 | Cold | 35.0 | 10.0 | Western Michigan | 42.1F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 13 | Cold | 35.0 | 10.0 | Eastern Michigan | 38.3F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 7 | Windy | 34.0 | 9.0 | Northern Illinois | 63.0F | 19.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 12 | Cold | 34.0 | 9.0 | Miami (OH) | 31.1F | 13.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 13 | Cold | 31.0 | 6.0 | Eastern Michigan | 28.2F | 10.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 13 | Cold | 31.0 | 6.0 | Eastern Michigan | 44.8F | 8.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 13 | Windy | 31.0 | 6.0 | Northern Illinois | 48.4F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 5 | Wet | 29.0 | 4.0 | Northern Illinois | 49.6F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 8 | Cold | 29.0 | 4.0 | Ball State | 44.6F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2025 | 13 | Cold | 28.0 | 3.0 | Kent State | 32.5F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 11 | Cold | 28.0 | 3.0 | Western Michigan | 44.2F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 7 | Windy | 28.0 | 3.0 | Akron | 55.0F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 6 | Wet | 28.0 | 3.0 | Ohio | 46.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 12 | Wet | 27.0 | 2.0 | Kent State | 61.9F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 1 | Wet | 24.0 | -1.0 | Missouri | 75.9F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 11 | Wet | 24.0 | -1.0 | Ball State | 44.6F | 13.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 15 | Windy | 23.0 | -2.0 | Toledo | 56.5F | 21.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 8 | Windy | 23.0 | -2.0 | Ball State | 66.9F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 11 | Cold | 23.0 | -2.0 | Toledo | 41.5F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 13 | Cold | 21.0 | -4.0 | Eastern Michigan | 33.1F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2023 | 12 | Cold | 20.0 | -5.0 | Ohio | 41.5F | 4.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 14 | Cold | 20.0 | -5.0 | Ball State | 34.7F | 1.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 9 | Windy | 20.0 | -5.0 | Buffalo | 59.0F | 24.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 13 | Cold | 20.0 | -5.0 | Western Michigan | 36.9F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 13 | Cold | 17.0 | -8.0 | Toledo | 30.7F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 5 | Wet | 17.0 | -8.0 | Miami (OH) | 74.3F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 14 | Cold | 16.0 | -9.0 | Northern Illinois | 23.5F | 13.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 6 | Windy | 16.0 | -9.0 | Ball State | 51.6F | 19.9 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 11 | Wet | 13.0 | -12.0 | Bowling Green | 66.4F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 11 | Cold | 13.0 | -12.0 | Bowling Green | 34.7F | 6.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2018 | 13 | Cold | 13.0 | -12.0 | Toledo | 43.5F | 8.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 1 | Wet | 13.0 | -12.0 | Oklahoma State | 70.7F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 4 | Windy | 12.0 | -13.0 | Miami | 83.8F | 22.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 12 | Cold | 10.0 | -15.0 | Toledo | 37.8F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Wet | 10.0 | -15.0 | Western Michigan | 30.0F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2018 | 8 | Windy | 10.0 | -15.0 | Western Michigan | 46.6F | 15.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 7 | Wet | 10.0 | -15.0 | Toledo | 57.6F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 5 | Wet | 10.0 | -15.0 | Western Michigan | 60.8F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 5 | Windy | 8.0 | -17.0 | Boston College | 55.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 14 | Wet | 3.0 | -22.0 | Toledo | 31.8F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
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