Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
UCF Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
FBC Mortgage Stadium • Orlando • FL
Big 12FBC Mortgage Stadium
Team games analyzed
153
Neutral avg points
33.9
Adverse avg points
33.1
Weather delta
-0.8
Weather context
UCF performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares UCFgames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 153 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 33.9 points and an adverse-weather average of 33.1 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2021 vs Bethune-Cookman: 29.1 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2015 vs East Carolina: -26.9 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2 | Wet | 63.0 | 29.1 | Bethune-Cookman | 79.0F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 1 | Windy | 62.0 | 28.1 | Florida A&M | 87.1F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 10 | Wet | 56.0 | 22.1 | Arizona | 73.2F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 1 | Wet | 56.0 | 22.1 | Kent State | 80.8F | 9.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 1 | Wet | 56.0 | 22.1 | South Carolina State | 76.1F | 5.8 mph | 0.2 in | No |
| 2020 | 4 | Wet | 51.0 | 17.1 | East Carolina | 77.9F | 2.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 12 | Wet | 49.0 | 15.1 | UConn | 73.6F | 10.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 11 | Wet | 49.0 | 15.1 | UConn | 73.9F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 3 | Wet | 48.0 | 14.1 | Villanova | 83.1F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 2 | Wet | 45.0 | 11.1 | Sam Houston | 79.2F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 11 | Wet | 45.0 | 11.1 | Oklahoma State | 79.2F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 3 | Windy | 45.0 | 11.1 | Stanford | 88.9F | 22.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 13 | Wet | 41.0 | 7.1 | Rutgers | 71.1F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 11 | Windy | 38.0 | 4.1 | Tulane | 59.4F | 16.5 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2018 | 2 | Wet | 38.0 | 4.1 | South Carolina State | 78.8F | 2.4 mph | 0.0 in | — |
| 2016 | 10 | Windy | 37.0 | 3.1 | Tulane | 78.1F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 1 | Wet | 36.0 | 2.1 | Boise State | 75.4F | 18.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 5 | Wet | 35.0 | 1.1 | Baylor | 86.2F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2025 | 4 | Wet | 34.0 | 0.1 | North Carolina | 85.8F | 11.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 10 | Windy | 31.0 | -2.9 | SMU | 84.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 8 | Windy | 29.0 | -4.9 | Oklahoma | 82.4F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 10 | Wet | 29.0 | -4.9 | UConn | 44.1F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 14 | Wet | 28.0 | -5.9 | Tulane | 74.1F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 5 | Wet | 26.0 | -7.9 | Tulsa | 73.8F | 8.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 8 | Wet | 24.0 | -9.9 | UConn | 48.9F | 12.7 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2023 | 12 | Windy | 23.0 | -10.9 | Texas Tech | 59.2F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 14 | Cold | 21.0 | -12.9 | BYU | 40.6F | 6.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 5 | Wet | 21.0 | -12.9 | Colorado | 84.4F | 6.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 13 | Cold | 21.0 | -12.9 | West Virginia | 43.3F | 6.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 7 | Windy | 21.0 | -12.9 | Cincinnati | 59.7F | 19.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 1 | Wet | 17.0 | -16.9 | Jacksonville State | 82.6F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 15 | Cold | 17.0 | -16.9 | SMU | 25.0F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 10 | Windy | 14.0 | -19.9 | Tulane | 61.0F | 20.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 2 | Wet | 14.0 | -19.9 | Michigan | 72.0F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 6 | Wet | 13.0 | -20.9 | Florida | 75.2F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 8 | Windy | 10.0 | -23.9 | Houston | 78.1F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 12 | Windy | 9.0 | -24.9 | Texas Tech | 89.8F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 12 | Wet | 7.0 | -26.9 | East Carolina | 73.9F | 3.4 mph | 0.2 in | No |
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