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Weather

San Diego State Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Snapdragon Stadium • San Diego • CA

Pac-12Snapdragon Stadium
Team games analyzed
153
Neutral avg points
25.8
Adverse avg points
24.4
Weather delta
-1.5

Weather context

San Diego State performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares San Diego Stategames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 153 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 25.8 points and an adverse-weather average of 24.4 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2016 vs Northern Illinois: 16.2 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2025 vs Hawai'i: -19.8 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
20163Windy42.016.2Northern Illinois79.0F19.7 mph0.0 inNo
20169Wet40.014.2Utah State54.0F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
202212Cold34.08.2New Mexico31.8F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
20145Windy34.08.2UNLV72.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201612Cold33.07.2Wyoming45.0F7.0 mph0.0 inYes
20193Wet31.05.2New Mexico State73.4F6.5 mph0.0 inNo
201613Wet31.05.2Colorado State55.9F12.7 mph0.1 inYes
201412Cold29.03.2Boise State9.0F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
20174Wet28.02.2Air Force54.9F9.2 mph0.1 inNo
201312Windy28.02.2Hawai'i79.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201614Windy27.01.2Wyoming27.9F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
202410Windy24.0-1.8Boise State54.1F19.9 mph0.0 inNo
20228Cold23.0-2.8Nevada43.9F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
202012Cold21.0-4.8Nevada40.6F4.7 mph0.0 inYes
202110Windy17.0-8.8Hawai'i80.2F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
202015Cold14.0-11.8BYU24.6F8.9 mph0.0 inNo
201410Cold14.0-11.8Nevada39.2F10.3 mph0.0 inNo
202312Wet13.0-12.8San José State61.0F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
20225Windy13.0-12.8Boise State68.5F16.2 mph0.0 inNo
20181Windy10.0-15.8Stanford73.0F16.5 mph0.0 inNo
202511Windy6.0-19.8Hawai'i75.0F15.0 mph0.0 inYes

Quick Answers

San Diego State weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-1.46

Games in scope
153
Neutral avg points
25.84
Adverse avg points
24.38
Top outlier
Windy (-19.84)