Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
Buffalo Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
UB Stadium • Amherst • NY
Mid-AmericanUB Stadium
Team games analyzed
147
Neutral avg points
27.9
Adverse avg points
30.1
Weather delta
2.2
Weather context
Buffalo performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Buffalogames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 147 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 27.9 points and an adverse-weather average of 30.1 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2020 vs Kent State: 42.1 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2016 vs Western Michigan: -27.9 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 13 | Windy | 70.0 | 42.1 | Kent State | 42.6F | 16.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 15 | Wet | 56.0 | 28.1 | Akron | 48.9F | 9.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 12 | Cold | 51.0 | 23.1 | Ball State | 37.6F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 10 | Cold | 51.0 | 23.1 | Miami (OH) | 44.6F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 13 | Cold | 49.0 | 21.1 | Toledo | 38.3F | 7.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 14 | Cold | 49.0 | 21.1 | Bowling Green | 29.7F | 2.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 11 | Windy | 48.0 | 20.1 | Kent State | 51.1F | 34.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 2 | Windy | 45.0 | 17.1 | St. Francis (PA) | 62.2F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 13 | Cold | 44.0 | 16.1 | Bowling Green | 45.0F | 10.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 13 | Cold | 44.0 | 16.1 | Miami (OH) | 28.9F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 14 | Windy | 43.0 | 15.1 | Kent State | 44.6F | 19.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 10 | Cold | 43.0 | 15.1 | Eastern Michigan | 43.2F | 11.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 12 | Cold | 42.0 | 14.1 | Bowling Green | 36.1F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 9 | Wet | 41.0 | 13.1 | Akron | 39.9F | 13.9 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 8 | Wet | 41.0 | 13.1 | Ohio | 55.9F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 14 | Windy | 41.0 | 13.1 | Massachusetts | 33.3F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 9 | Cold | 41.0 | 13.1 | Kent State | 44.1F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 12 | Cold | 41.0 | 13.1 | Toledo | 32.0F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 12 | Cold | 40.0 | 12.1 | Ball State | 37.9F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 4 | Wet | 38.0 | 10.1 | Louisiana | 86.2F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 6 | Wet | 38.0 | 10.1 | Kent State | 66.7F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 1 | Windy | 38.0 | 10.1 | Robert Morris | 71.6F | 19.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 11 | Cold | 38.0 | 10.1 | Bowling Green | 39.0F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 13 | Cold | 37.0 | 9.1 | Eastern Michigan | 35.8F | 10.6 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2023 | 2 | Wet | 37.0 | 9.1 | Fordham | 66.6F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 4 | Windy | 36.0 | 8.1 | Norfolk State | 75.9F | 19.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 6 | Cold | 35.0 | 7.1 | Bowling Green | 45.0F | 13.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 8 | Windy | 34.0 | 6.1 | Toledo | 72.5F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2013 | 8 | Windy | 32.0 | 4.1 | Massachusetts | 59.0F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 13 | Windy | 31.0 | 3.1 | Ohio | 48.9F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 11 | Cold | 30.0 | 2.1 | Northern Illinois | 45.0F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 13 | Windy | 27.0 | -0.9 | Kent State | 48.6F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 7 | Windy | 27.0 | -0.9 | Ohio | 57.7F | 17.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 12 | Windy | 27.0 | -0.9 | Northern Illinois | 64.9F | 18.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 12 | Cold | 27.0 | -0.9 | Kent State | 36.3F | 5.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2025 | 14 | Windy | 26.0 | -1.9 | Ohio | 34.2F | 25.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 13 | Windy | 26.0 | -1.9 | Massachusetts | 55.9F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 5 | Windy | 24.0 | -3.9 | Miami (OH) | 61.3F | 18.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 7 | Windy | 24.0 | -3.9 | Akron | 47.5F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 11 | Windy | 24.0 | -3.9 | Miami (OH) | 45.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 14 | Windy | 23.0 | -4.9 | Akron | 46.6F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 5 | Windy | 22.0 | -5.9 | Bowling Green | 46.0F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 13 | Cold | 20.0 | -7.9 | Miami (OH) | 36.0F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 9 | Wet | 20.0 | -7.9 | Akron | 39.9F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 6 | Windy | 20.0 | -7.9 | Kent State | 61.0F | 19.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2025 | 12 | Cold | 19.0 | -8.9 | Central Michigan | 37.2F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 13 | Cold | 19.0 | -8.9 | Bowling Green | 39.9F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 12 | Cold | 17.0 | -10.9 | Ohio | 31.1F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 7 | Wet | 14.0 | -13.9 | Bowling Green | 48.7F | 10.6 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 7 | Windy | 14.0 | -13.9 | Central Michigan | 45.5F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 9 | Windy | 14.0 | -13.9 | Central Michigan | 59.0F | 24.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 10 | Wet | 13.0 | -14.9 | Toledo | 31.5F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 13 | Wet | 11.0 | -16.9 | Eastern Michigan | 43.3F | 10.6 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2023 | 11 | Cold | 10.0 | -17.9 | Ohio | 40.5F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 1 | Wet | 10.0 | -17.9 | Maryland | 82.2F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 10 | Wet | 10.0 | -17.9 | Ohio | 63.0F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 14 | Cold | 7.0 | -20.9 | Bowling Green | 26.1F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 13 | Cold | 3.0 | -24.9 | Ball State | 35.6F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 5 | Wet | 3.0 | -24.9 | Boston College | 54.0F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 12 | Wet | 0.0 | -27.9 | Western Michigan | 33.1F | 13.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
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