Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
Arkansas State Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Centennial Bank Stadium • Jonesboro • AR
Sun BeltWestCentennial Bank Stadium
Team games analyzed
153
Neutral avg points
30.9
Adverse avg points
28.0
Weather delta
-3.0
Weather context
Arkansas State performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Arkansas Stategames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 153 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 30.9 points and an adverse-weather average of 28.0 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2014 vs New Mexico State: 37.1 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2021 vs Washington: -27.9 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 14 | Windy | 68.0 | 37.1 | New Mexico State | 63.0F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 6 | Wet | 50.0 | 19.1 | Central Arkansas | 69.6F | 12.7 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2019 | 2 | Windy | 43.0 | 12.1 | UNLV | 98.1F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 11 | Wet | 42.0 | 11.1 | UL Monroe | 52.0F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 9 | Wet | 38.0 | 7.1 | Texas State | 57.0F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 13 | Cold | 38.0 | 7.1 | Georgia Southern | 44.4F | 12.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 14 | Wet | 36.0 | 5.1 | Texas State | 52.0F | 13.9 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2022 | 11 | Cold | 35.0 | 4.1 | Massachusetts | 36.9F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 13 | Cold | 35.0 | 4.1 | Georgia State | 44.1F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 12 | Cold | 32.0 | 1.1 | App State | 39.9F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2025 | 13 | Wet | 30.0 | -0.9 | Louisiana | 57.0F | 0.0 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2025 | 14 | Cold | 30.0 | -0.9 | App State | 33.3F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 12 | Wet | 30.0 | -0.9 | Texas State | 64.0F | 27.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 13 | Cold | 27.0 | -3.9 | Texas State | 41.0F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 13 | Windy | 22.0 | -8.9 | Texas State | 55.2F | 21.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2025 | 4 | Wet | 21.0 | -9.9 | Kennesaw State | 84.4F | 6.9 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2017 | 4 | Windy | 21.0 | -9.9 | SMU | 91.9F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 11 | Wet | 19.0 | -11.9 | Louisiana | 80.2F | 5.8 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2022 | 13 | Wet | 19.0 | -11.9 | Troy | 47.8F | 13.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 5 | Wet | 19.0 | -11.9 | Missouri | 70.0F | 19.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 8 | Windy | 18.0 | -12.9 | Louisiana | 79.0F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Wet | 13.0 | -17.9 | Texas State | 41.0F | 18.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 4 | Windy | 7.0 | -23.9 | Memphis | 72.5F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 9 | Wet | 3.0 | -27.9 | South Alabama | 62.4F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 3 | Wet | 3.0 | -27.9 | Washington | 62.6F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
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