Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
Air Force Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Falcon Stadium • Colorado Springs • CO
Mountain WestFalcon Stadium
Team games analyzed
147
Neutral avg points
29.6
Adverse avg points
28.5
Weather delta
-1.1
Weather context
Air Force performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Air Forcegames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 147 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 29.6 points and an adverse-weather average of 28.5 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2016 vs Colorado State: 19.4 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2017 vs Army: -29.6 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | Wet | 49.0 | 19.4 | Bucknell | 68.4F | 9.2 mph | 0.2 in | No |
| 2016 | 11 | Cold | 49.0 | 19.4 | Colorado State | 34.5F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 2 | Windy | 48.0 | 18.4 | Georgia State | 63.0F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 3 | Windy | 45.0 | 15.4 | Utah State | 80.4F | 23.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2017 | 6 | Windy | 45.0 | 15.4 | Navy | 79.0F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 12 | Windy | 45.0 | 15.4 | Nevada | 22.1F | 23.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2013 | 5 | Windy | 42.0 | 12.4 | Nevada | 68.0F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 10 | Cold | 42.0 | 12.4 | Army | 41.0F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 2 | Wet | 41.0 | 11.4 | Colorado | 48.2F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 12 | Windy | 38.0 | 8.4 | Colorado State | 43.2F | 23.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 13 | Cold | 38.0 | 8.4 | Utah State | 41.0F | 3.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 12 | Cold | 37.0 | 7.4 | Boise State | 33.1F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 11 | Cold | 36.0 | 6.4 | Fresno State | 27.3F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2025 | 5 | Windy | 35.0 | 5.4 | Hawai'i | 76.8F | 17.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 11 | Cold | 35.0 | 5.4 | New Mexico | 44.4F | 12.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 14 | Cold | 35.0 | 5.4 | Utah State | 24.4F | 1.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 6 | Windy | 35.0 | 5.4 | Navy | 48.9F | 20.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 13 | Cold | 35.0 | 5.4 | New Mexico | 45.0F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2023 | 9 | Wet | 30.0 | 0.4 | Colorado State | 26.6F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 9 | Windy | 30.0 | 0.4 | Boise State | 55.0F | 17.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 12 | Cold | 28.0 | -1.6 | New Mexico | 35.6F | 6.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 8 | Windy | 24.0 | -5.6 | Wyoming | 61.7F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Cold | 24.0 | -5.6 | Colorado State | 13.8F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 4 | Wet | 24.0 | -5.6 | San Diego State | 54.9F | 9.2 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2024 | 13 | Cold | 22.0 | -7.6 | Nevada | 39.2F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 3 | Windy | 21.0 | -8.6 | Michigan State | 63.0F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 13 | Windy | 21.0 | -8.6 | UNLV | 10.2F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 14 | Windy | 20.0 | -9.6 | Wyoming | 34.9F | 21.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 5 | Windy | 19.0 | -10.6 | Wyoming | 71.2F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2023 | 13 | Cold | 19.0 | -10.6 | Boise State | 44.6F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 12 | Cold | 19.0 | -10.6 | Boise State | 39.0F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 10 | Cold | 17.0 | -12.6 | Army | 44.4F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 10 | Cold | 17.0 | -12.6 | Army | 44.1F | 3.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 12 | Cold | 16.0 | -13.6 | UConn | 44.6F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 3 | Windy | 14.0 | -15.6 | Wyoming | 62.8F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2017 | 11 | Cold | 14.0 | -15.6 | Wyoming | 37.8F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2023 | 11 | Windy | 13.0 | -16.6 | Hawai'i | 76.5F | 26.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 5 | Wet | 11.0 | -18.6 | Navy | 60.1F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 16 | Cold | 7.0 | -22.6 | Army | 27.5F | 3.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2017 | 10 | Windy | 0.0 | -29.6 | Army | 65.5F | 27.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
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