Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
New Mexico State Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Aggie Memorial Stadium • Las Cruces • NM
Conference USAAggie Memorial Stadium
Team games analyzed
142
Neutral avg points
24.1
Adverse avg points
29.1
Weather delta
5.0
Weather context
New Mexico State performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares New Mexico Stategames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 142 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 24.1 points and an adverse-weather average of 29.1 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2022 vs Valparaiso: 40.9 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2018 vs BYU: -14.1 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 14 | Wet | 65.0 | 40.9 | Valparaiso | 62.6F | 3.7 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2018 | 6 | Windy | 49.0 | 24.9 | Liberty | 82.9F | 20.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 3 | Wet | 42.0 | 17.9 | Kentucky | 70.0F | 5.8 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2017 | 4 | Windy | 41.0 | 16.9 | UTEP | 86.2F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 5 | Windy | 37.0 | 12.9 | Louisiana | 82.8F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2023 | 14 | Wet | 35.0 | 10.9 | Liberty | 44.8F | 4.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 14 | Windy | 35.0 | 10.9 | Arkansas State | 63.0F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 10 | Windy | 35.0 | 10.9 | Louisiana | 71.2F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 2 | Windy | 32.0 | 7.9 | New Mexico | 81.7F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2018 | 8 | Windy | 31.0 | 6.9 | Georgia Southern | 71.2F | 16.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 10 | Windy | 31.0 | 6.9 | Texas State | 62.6F | 20.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2017 | 2 | Windy | 30.0 | 5.9 | New Mexico | 86.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 5 | Windy | 29.0 | 4.9 | New Mexico | 69.8F | 16.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 10 | Windy | 29.0 | 4.9 | Texas State | 76.5F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 7 | Windy | 28.0 | 3.9 | Central Michigan | 48.9F | 16.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 14 | Cold | 28.0 | 3.9 | Liberty | 42.1F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2021 | 4 | Windy | 21.0 | -3.1 | Hawai'i | 66.2F | 19.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 13 | Wet | 21.0 | -3.1 | Liberty | 39.9F | 0.0 mph | 0.3 in | No |
| 2025 | 5 | Windy | 20.0 | -4.1 | New Mexico | 74.3F | 21.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 13 | Windy | 20.0 | -4.1 | Jacksonville State | 61.2F | 27.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 4 | Windy | 17.0 | -7.1 | Hawai'i | 77.7F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 6 | Windy | 17.0 | -7.1 | New Mexico | 57.2F | 18.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 12 | Cold | 14.0 | -10.1 | Missouri | 25.5F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 3 | Wet | 10.0 | -14.1 | San Diego State | 73.4F | 6.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 12 | Cold | 10.0 | -14.1 | BYU | 35.1F | 0.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
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