Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
North Carolina Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Kenan Stadium • Chapel Hill • NC
ACCKenan Stadium
Team games analyzed
153
Neutral avg points
32.7
Adverse avg points
34.4
Weather delta
1.7
Weather context
North Carolina performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares North Carolinagames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 153 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 32.7 points and an adverse-weather average of 34.4 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2015 vs Duke: 33.3 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2016 vs Virginia Tech: -29.7 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 10 | Wet | 66.0 | 33.3 | Duke | 71.1F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 12 | Windy | 65.0 | 32.3 | Western Carolina | 66.0F | 21.9 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 1 | Wet | 56.0 | 23.3 | Florida A&M | 77.0F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 6 | Wet | 56.0 | 23.3 | Virginia Tech | 65.7F | 1.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 13 | Wet | 56.0 | 23.3 | Mercer | 46.0F | 4.5 mph | 0.1 in | — |
| 2016 | 2 | Windy | 48.0 | 15.3 | Illinois | 72.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2020 | 9 | Cold | 41.0 | 8.3 | Virginia | 43.3F | 4.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 14 | Wet | 41.0 | 8.3 | NC State | 46.4F | 2.2 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2016 | 12 | Windy | 41.0 | 8.3 | The Citadel | 73.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 4 | Wet | 41.0 | 8.3 | Delaware | 66.0F | 11.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 12 | Cold | 40.0 | 7.3 | Pittsburgh | 41.0F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2015 | 5 | Wet | 38.0 | 5.3 | Georgia Tech | 62.1F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2015 | 14 | Cold | 37.0 | 4.3 | Clemson | 42.8F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 11 | Wet | 36.0 | 3.3 | Wake Forest | 64.2F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 14 | Cold | 30.0 | -2.7 | NC State | 44.6F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 13 | Cold | 30.0 | -2.7 | NC State | 41.2F | 5.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 13 | Wet | 28.0 | -4.7 | NC State | 37.9F | 3.7 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2022 | 6 | Wet | 27.0 | -5.7 | Miami | 82.4F | 16.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2019 | 12 | Cold | 27.0 | -5.7 | Pittsburgh | 33.8F | 3.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 14 | Cold | 25.0 | -7.7 | Duke | 44.1F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2013 | 8 | Wet | 23.0 | -9.7 | Miami | 70.0F | 10.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2024 | 13 | Wet | 21.0 | -11.7 | Boston College | 44.2F | 17.4 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2023 | 13 | Cold | 20.0 | -12.7 | NC State | 39.2F | 5.8 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 10 | Windy | 20.0 | -12.7 | Miami | 75.9F | 17.2 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 4 | Wet | 20.0 | -12.7 | Georgia Tech | 70.0F | 8.1 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2025 | 14 | Cold | 19.0 | -13.7 | NC State | 37.6F | 3.7 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2025 | 4 | Wet | 9.0 | -23.7 | UCF | 85.8F | 11.6 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 6 | Wet | 3.0 | -29.7 | Virginia Tech | 66.9F | 24.2 mph | 0.8 in | Yes |
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