Team vs FBS by Temperature
Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.
Weather
Ole Miss Weather Splits
Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium • Oxford • MS
SECVaught-Hemingway Stadium
Team games analyzed
146
Neutral avg points
35.8
Adverse avg points
27.9
Weather delta
-7.9
Weather context
Ole Miss performance by game conditions
Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Ole Missgames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.
The current model analyzes 146 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 35.8 points and an adverse-weather average of 27.9 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.
Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions
Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.
Upset Profile by Scenario
Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.
Adverse Weather Outliers
Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.
Best adverse-weather performance
2023 vs Mercer: 37.2 points vs neutral baseline
Toughest adverse-weather performance
2014 vs Arkansas: -35.8 points vs neutral baseline
Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas
Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.
| Opponent | Temp | Wind | Precip | Upset | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | Wet | 73.0 | 37.2 | Mercer | 75.0F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 2 | Wet | 59.0 | 23.2 | Central Arkansas | 73.2F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2019 | 12 | Cold | 37.0 | 1.2 | LSU | 42.8F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2018 | 7 | Wet | 37.0 | 1.2 | Arkansas | 56.8F | 8.1 mph | 0.1 in | No |
| 2017 | 9 | Cold | 37.0 | 1.2 | Arkansas | 44.4F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2025 | 9 | Wet | 34.0 | -1.8 | Oklahoma | 62.6F | 5.6 mph | 0.2 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 13 | Wet | 31.0 | -4.8 | Mississippi State | 59.0F | 9.2 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2017 | 13 | Cold | 31.0 | -4.8 | Mississippi State | 42.8F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2016 | 7 | Windy | 30.0 | -5.8 | Arkansas | 77.0F | 15.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2021 | 11 | Cold | 29.0 | -6.8 | Texas A&M | 35.4F | 4.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2024 | 11 | Wet | 28.0 | -7.8 | Georgia | 66.0F | 10.6 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
| 2022 | 12 | Cold | 27.0 | -8.8 | Arkansas | 26.4F | 6.5 mph | 0.0 in | — |
| 2024 | 14 | Cold | 26.0 | -9.8 | Mississippi State | 44.4F | 11.8 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2022 | 11 | Cold | 24.0 | -11.8 | Alabama | 42.6F | 8.1 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2017 | 12 | Windy | 24.0 | -11.8 | Texas A&M | 53.4F | 26.4 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2014 | 6 | Windy | 23.0 | -12.8 | Alabama | 64.2F | 19.7 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2020 | 7 | Windy | 21.0 | -14.8 | Arkansas | 68.9F | 20.5 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 11 | Wet | 17.0 | -18.8 | Georgia | 48.9F | 9.3 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2023 | 13 | Cold | 17.0 | -18.8 | Mississippi State | 44.4F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2016 | 12 | Cold | 17.0 | -18.8 | Vanderbilt | 39.0F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2013 | 13 | Cold | 10.0 | -25.8 | Missouri | 37.2F | 7.0 mph | 0.0 in | No |
| 2013 | 14 | Cold | 10.0 | -25.8 | Mississippi State | 32.0F | 0.0 mph | 0.0 in | Yes |
| 2014 | 13 | Wet | 0.0 | -35.8 | Arkansas | 52.0F | 7.0 mph | 0.1 in | Yes |
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