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Minnesota Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Huntington Bank Stadium • Minneapolis • MN

Big TenHuntington Bank Stadium
Team games analyzed
151
Neutral avg points
28.0
Adverse avg points
24.4
Weather delta
-3.5

Weather context

Minnesota performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Minnesotagames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 151 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 28.0 points and an adverse-weather average of 24.4 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2016 vs Indiana State: 30.0 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2015 vs Northwestern: -28.0 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
20162Windy58.030.0Indiana State66.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
201711Cold54.026.0Nebraska37.0F9.2 mph0.0 inNo
20199Windy52.024.0Maryland54.5F17.0 mph0.0 inNo
201411Windy51.023.0Iowa37.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
202010Windy41.013.0Illinois73.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
201811Cold41.013.0Purdue21.2F8.5 mph0.0 inYes
20196Wet40.012.0Illinois51.6F14.0 mph0.0 inNo
20169Windy40.012.0Illinois73.9F19.7 mph0.0 inNo
20192Windy38.010.0Fresno State80.2F23.2 mph0.0 inNo
201913Cold38.010.0Northwestern34.2F9.8 mph0.0 inNo
20189Wet38.010.0Indiana45.7F6.5 mph0.0 inYes
201813Cold37.09.0Wisconsin42.1F13.9 mph0.0 inYes
202012Cold34.06.0Purdue34.0F5.5 mph0.0 inYes
20197Windy34.06.0Nebraska37.8F15.2 mph0.0 inNo
20139Windy34.06.0Nebraska42.1F16.1 mph0.0 inYes
201512Cold32.04.0Illinois23.0F11.4 mph0.0 inNo
202211Cold31.03.0Northwestern28.2F11.4 mph0.0 inNo
20211Wet31.03.0Ohio State64.6F6.8 mph0.0 inNo
201911Cold31.03.0Penn State39.7F4.7 mph0.0 inYes
20186Cold31.03.0Iowa44.4F8.8 mph0.0 inNo
201612Cold29.01.0Northwestern28.9F13.9 mph0.0 inNo
20188Windy28.00.0Nebraska57.7F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201413Cold28.00.0Nebraska39.9F11.4 mph0.0 inYes
20243Wet27.0-1.0Nevada75.2F10.3 mph0.0 inNo
20239Cold27.0-1.0Michigan State34.0F5.6 mph0.0 inNo
20177Wet27.0-1.0Michigan State50.0F19.7 mph0.0 inNo
202413Cold25.0-3.0Penn State39.2F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
20232Wet25.0-3.0Eastern Michigan66.2F9.2 mph0.0 inNo
20245Wet24.0-4.0Michigan64.4F8.1 mph0.1 inNo
202414Windy24.0-4.0Wisconsin23.7F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20208Cold24.0-4.0Michigan30.4F2.7 mph0.0 inNo
202015Windy24.0-4.0Nebraska29.1F19.7 mph0.0 inYes
20175Windy24.0-4.0Maryland61.0F15.0 mph0.0 inYes
20178Windy24.0-4.0Illinois66.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201412Wet24.0-4.0Ohio State18.0F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
201414Cold24.0-4.0Wisconsin43.0F12.7 mph0.0 inNo
201311Cold24.0-4.0Penn State43.0F13.9 mph0.0 inNo
202510Cold23.0-5.0Michigan State43.2F1.9 mph0.0 inNo
202113Cold23.0-5.0Wisconsin39.4F8.1 mph0.0 inYes
202111Cold22.0-6.0Iowa35.4F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
201513Cold21.0-7.0Wisconsin33.1F9.2 mph0.0 inNo
201912Cold19.0-9.0Iowa45.0F12.6 mph0.0 inNo
202514Cold17.0-11.0Wisconsin21.4F11.8 mph0.0 inYes
202016Cold17.0-11.0Wisconsin34.9F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
201914Wet17.0-11.0Wisconsin33.3F13.0 mph0.0 inNo
20176Windy17.0-11.0Purdue82.9F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
201611Cold17.0-11.0Nebraska43.0F7.0 mph0.0 inNo
202313Cold14.0-14.0Wisconsin28.2F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
20187Cold14.0-14.0Ohio State44.6F3.0 mph0.0 inNo
201812Cold14.0-14.0Northwestern24.4F8.9 mph0.0 inYes
201510Cold14.0-14.0Ohio State42.1F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
20238Windy12.0-16.0Iowa67.8F20.8 mph0.0 inYes
202212Windy10.0-18.0Iowa16.0F16.2 mph0.0 inYes
20179Cold10.0-18.0Iowa39.0F9.2 mph0.0 inNo
201710Wet10.0-18.0Michigan46.0F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
202011Windy7.0-21.0Iowa33.6F15.2 mph0.0 inNo
20166Cold7.0-21.0Iowa43.0F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
20135Wet7.0-21.0Iowa55.9F11.4 mph0.0 inYes
201313Cold7.0-21.0Wisconsin18.0F12.7 mph0.0 inNo
201314Windy3.0-25.0Michigan State39.9F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
201712Wet0.0-28.0Northwestern37.9F11.4 mph0.1 inNo
201713Cold0.0-28.0Wisconsin37.9F10.3 mph0.0 inNo
20155Windy0.0-28.0Northwestern52.0F19.7 mph0.0 inNo

Quick Answers

Minnesota weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

-3.54

Games in scope
151
Neutral avg points
27.99
Adverse avg points
24.44
Top outlier
Windy (30.01)