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Arizona Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Arizona Stadium • Tucson • AZ

Big 12Arizona Stadium
Team games analyzed
147
Neutral avg points
29.7
Adverse avg points
34.6
Weather delta
4.8

Weather context

Arizona performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Arizonagames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 147 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 29.7 points and an adverse-weather average of 34.6 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Line chart. Line chart with 2 data series: Arizona Avg Points, FBS Baseline Avg Points. Categories include Freezing (<=32F), Cold (33-45F), Mild (46-65F), Warm (66-80F), and 1 more.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Bar chart. Bar chart with 2 data series: Passing Yards, Rushing Yards. Categories include Dry, Wet, Calm, Windy.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Bar chart. Bar chart with 1 data series: Upset Rate. Categories include Wet, Windy, Cold, Neutral.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2019 vs Northern Arizona: 35.3 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2024 vs UCF: -17.7 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
20192Windy65.035.3Northern Arizona88.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20173Windy63.033.3UTEP88.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201613Windy56.026.3Arizona State68.0F16.1 mph0.0 inYes
201413Windy42.012.3Utah44.6F28.8 mph0.0 inYes
201313Wet42.012.3Oregon51.8F10.3 mph0.1 inYes
20191Windy38.08.3Hawai'i84.2F16.1 mph0.0 inYes
201512Windy37.07.3Arizona State79.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201710Windy35.05.3USC64.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
202311Windy34.04.3Colorado57.0F18.6 mph0.0 inNo
20258Wet28.0-1.7Houston83.3F9.2 mph0.0 inYes
20193Windy28.0-1.7Texas Tech80.6F18.4 mph0.0 inYes
201812Cold28.0-1.7Washington State31.5F1.2 mph0.0 inNo
201712Cold28.0-1.7Oregon43.0F4.7 mph0.0 inNo
20234Windy21.0-8.7Stanford66.0F17.4 mph0.0 inNo
202112Cold18.0-11.7Washington State32.0F10.6 mph0.0 inNo
20135Wet13.0-16.7Washington63.0F15.0 mph0.1 inNo
202410Wet12.0-17.7UCF73.2F15.0 mph0.0 inNo

Quick Answers

Arizona weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

4.85

Games in scope
147
Neutral avg points
29.74
Adverse avg points
34.59
Top outlier
Windy (35.26)