AP upset archive
Biggest College Football Upsets of 2019
The season's 25 strongest AP-defined upsets, led by the quality of the ranked team defeated and the game-time ranking gap.
25
Upsets ranked
11
Unranked winners
16
Market-confirmed
Top 25 AP upsets
- Historic upsetWeek 7Road
Unranked South Carolina 20, No. 3 Georgia 17
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 46/50 · Rank gap 46/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 20.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance —
92
AP score
- Historic upsetWeek 9Home
Unranked Kansas State 48, No. 5 Oklahoma 41
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 42/50 · Rank gap 42/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 23.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance —
84
AP score
- Historic upsetWeek 8Home
Unranked Illinois 24, No. 6 Wisconsin 23
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 40/50 · Rank gap 40/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 30.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance —
80
AP score
- Historic upsetWeek 13Home
Unranked Arizona State 31, No. 6 Oregon 28
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 40/50 · Rank gap 40/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 13.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance —
80
AP score
- Major upsetWeek 12Home
No. 23 Iowa 23, No. 7 Minnesota 19
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 38/50 · Rank gap 32/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 3-point favorite · Pregame win chance —
70
AP score
- Major upsetWeek 14Home
No. 16 Auburn 48, No. 5 Alabama 45
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 42/50 · Rank gap 22/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 3.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance —
64
AP score
Full Game · 2019 Auburn vs. Alabama (Regular Season Full Game)
- Major upsetWeek 4Home
Unranked USC 30, No. 10 Utah 23
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 32/50 · Rank gap 32/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 3.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance —
64
AP score
- Major upsetWeek 11Home
No. 13 Minnesota 31, No. 5 Penn State 26
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 42/50 · Rank gap 16/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 6.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance —
58
AP score
- Major upsetWeek 15Neutral
No. 13 Oregon 37, No. 5 Utah 15
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 42/50 · Rank gap 16/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 6.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance —
58
AP score
- Major upsetWeek 9Home
No. 19 Michigan 45, No. 8 Notre Dame 14
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 36/50 · Rank gap 22/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 1-point favorite · Pregame win chance —
58
AP score
- Major upsetPLAYSTATION FIESTA BOWL - CFP SEMIFINALNeutral
No. 3 Clemson 29, No. 2 Ohio State 23
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 48/50 · Rank gap 2/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 2.5-point favorite · Pregame win chance —
50
AP score
Full Game · 2019 Ohio State vs. Clemson (Bowl Full Game)
- Major upsetOUTBACK BOWLNeutral
No. 16 Minnesota 31, No. 9 Auburn 24
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 34/50 · Rank gap 14/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 7-point underdog · Pregame win chance —
48
AP score
- Major upsetPostseasonNeutral
No. 22 Texas 38, No. 12 Utah 10
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 28/50 · Rank gap 20/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 7-point underdog · Pregame win chance —
48
AP score
- Major upsetWeek 2Road
Unranked California 20, No. 14 Washington 19
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 24/50 · Rank gap 24/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 13.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance —
48
AP score
- Major upsetWeek 8Home
Unranked BYU 28, No. 14 Boise State 25
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 24/50 · Rank gap 24/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 7-point underdog · Pregame win chance —
48
AP score
- UpsetWeek 10Neutral
No. 8 Georgia 24, No. 6 Florida 17
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 40/50 · Rank gap 4/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 6.5-point favorite · Pregame win chance —
44
AP score
Full Game · 2019 Florida vs. Georgia (Regular Season Full Game)
- UpsetWeek 6Home
No. 10 Florida 24, No. 7 Auburn 13
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 38/50 · Rank gap 6/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 2.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance —
44
AP score
Full Game · 2019 Florida vs. Auburn (Regular Season Full Game)
- UpsetWeek 4Home
Unranked Pittsburgh 35, No. 15 UCF 34
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 22/50 · Rank gap 22/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 10-point underdog · Pregame win chance —
44
AP score
- UpsetWeek 5Road
Unranked Arizona State 24, No. 15 California 17
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 22/50 · Rank gap 22/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 4-point underdog · Pregame win chance —
44
AP score
- UpsetWeek 6Home
Unranked Stanford 23, No. 15 Washington 13
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 22/50 · Rank gap 22/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 13-point underdog · Pregame win chance —
44
AP score
- UpsetWeek 9Home
Unranked TCU 37, No. 15 Texas 27
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 22/50 · Rank gap 22/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 1.5-point favorite · Pregame win chance —
44
AP score
- UpsetWeek 14Road
No. 13 Wisconsin 38, No. 9 Minnesota 17
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 34/50 · Rank gap 8/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 3-point favorite · Pregame win chance —
42
AP score
- UpsetWeek 10Home
No. 24 Memphis 54, No. 15 SMU 48
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 22/50 · Rank gap 18/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 6.5-point favorite · Pregame win chance —
40
AP score
- UpsetWeek 4Home
No. 13 Wisconsin 35, No. 11 Michigan 14
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 30/50 · Rank gap 4/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 3.5-point favorite · Pregame win chance —
34
AP score
- UpsetWeek 6Home
No. 19 Michigan 10, No. 14 Iowa 3
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 24/50 · Rank gap 10/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 4.5-point favorite · Pregame win chance —
34
AP score
How the ranking works
An upset qualifies only when the winner was unranked or ranked below an AP Top 25 opponent at kickoff. Regular-season games use that game's AP poll week; postseason games use the last regular-season AP poll before bowl and playoff results. The 100-point score splits evenly between defeated-opponent strength and ranking gap. Betting lines and pregame win probability are shown separately as supporting evidence and never change the AP score, so missing market data cannot lower a game.