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Weather

Northern Illinois Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Huskie Stadium • DeKalb • IL

Mountain WestHuskie Stadium
Team games analyzed
149
Neutral avg points
26.9
Adverse avg points
28.9
Weather delta
2.0

Weather context

Northern Illinois performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Northern Illinoisgames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 149 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 26.9 points and an adverse-weather average of 28.9 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2017 vs Ball State: 36.1 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2018 vs Utah: -20.9 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

OpponentTempWindPrecipUpset
201711Cold63.036.1Ball State30.7F10.3 mph0.0 inNo
20139Windy59.032.1Eastern Michigan52.2F19.7 mph0.0 inNo
20152Windy57.030.1Murray State64.0F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
20199Wet49.022.1Akron46.8F10.7 mph0.0 inNo
20158Windy49.022.1Eastern Michigan57.9F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
201312Windy48.021.1Ball State32.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
202110Cold47.020.1Kent State34.3F3.7 mph0.0 inNo
202512Cold45.018.1Massachusetts41.4F9.3 mph0.0 inNo
20214Windy41.014.1Maine65.8F16.2 mph0.0 inNo
201511Cold41.014.1Buffalo45.0F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
20227Windy39.012.1Eastern Michigan52.2F15.0 mph0.0 inYes
20225Windy38.011.1Ball State73.4F17.4 mph0.0 inYes
201811Cold38.011.1Toledo32.7F13.0 mph0.0 inNo
202313Cold37.010.1Kent State36.9F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
201810Wet36.09.1Akron48.7F5.5 mph0.0 inNo
201712Windy35.08.1Western Michigan42.4F25.3 mph0.0 inNo
201313Cold35.08.1Toledo37.4F3.4 mph0.0 inNo
20246Windy34.07.1Massachusetts72.3F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
20217Windy34.07.1Bowling Green58.1F20.5 mph0.0 inNo
202112Windy33.06.1Buffalo64.9F18.6 mph0.0 inNo
202015Wet33.06.1Eastern Michigan52.3F16.6 mph0.0 inNo
201314Cold33.06.1Western Michigan24.8F11.4 mph0.0 inNo
20226Windy32.05.1Toledo55.6F18.6 mph0.0 inNo
202514Cold31.04.1Kent State26.8F0.0 mph0.0 inYes
202310Wet31.04.1Central Michigan32.4F4.7 mph0.0 inYes
201912Cold31.04.1Toledo24.3F10.3 mph0.0 inYes
20165Wet31.04.1Ball State61.0F3.4 mph0.0 inYes
201612Cold31.04.1Eastern Michigan44.1F0.0 mph0.0 inNo
201613Cold31.04.1Kent State36.3F5.8 mph0.0 inNo
201414Cold31.04.1Western Michigan25.0F11.4 mph0.0 inYes
20163Windy28.01.1San Diego State79.0F19.7 mph0.0 inNo
20167Windy28.01.1Central Michigan63.0F19.7 mph0.0 inNo
20149Windy28.01.1Eastern Michigan64.9F17.2 mph0.0 inNo
20215Wet27.00.1Eastern Michigan70.5F16.2 mph0.1 in
202013Cold27.00.1Western Michigan42.4F10.2 mph0.0 inNo
201512Windy27.00.1Western Michigan47.7F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
201412Windy27.00.1Toledo31.8F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
202012Cold25.0-1.9Ball State44.6F11.0 mph0.0 inNo
202414Cold24.0-2.9Central Michigan23.5F13.9 mph0.0 inNo
202312Cold24.0-2.9Western Michigan41.2F8.1 mph0.0 inNo
202014Cold24.0-2.9Toledo37.6F0.7 mph0.0 inNo
20187Windy24.0-2.9Ohio48.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
20176Windy24.0-2.9Kent State72.1F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
201713Windy24.0-2.9Central Michigan48.4F15.0 mph0.0 inYes
202212Wet23.0-3.9Miami (OH)31.3F10.3 mph0.0 in
20216Wet22.0-4.9Toledo73.8F8.1 mph0.0 inYes
202113Windy21.0-5.9Western Michigan34.0F19.9 mph0.0 inNo
201813Cold21.0-5.9Western Michigan32.0F13.2 mph0.0 inYes
201513Cold21.0-5.9Ohio34.5F9.2 mph0.0 inYes
201413Windy21.0-5.9Ohio21.0F15.0 mph0.0 inNo
20238Windy20.0-6.9Eastern Michigan55.8F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
202513Cold19.0-7.9Western Michigan41.2F9.3 mph0.0 inNo
20155Wet19.0-7.9Central Michigan49.6F11.4 mph0.0 inYes
202311Cold17.0-9.9Ball State44.8F13.7 mph0.0 inYes
201913Cold17.0-9.9Eastern Michigan37.8F1.4 mph0.0 inYes
201914Wet17.0-9.9Western Michigan41.5F14.5 mph0.0 inYes
20146Windy17.0-9.9Kent State43.9F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
20242Windy16.0-10.9Notre Dame64.6F18.6 mph0.0 inYes
20256Windy14.0-12.9Miami (OH)84.9F16.1 mph0.0 inNo
20153Windy13.0-13.9Ohio State68.0F18.3 mph0.0 inNo
202213Windy12.0-14.9Akron53.8F17.4 mph0.0 inYes
202011Cold10.0-16.9Central Michigan35.6F4.8 mph0.0 inNo
201910Cold10.0-16.9Central Michigan42.4F8.9 mph0.0 inYes
201812Cold7.0-19.9Miami (OH)25.0F4.1 mph0.0 inYes
20182Windy6.0-20.9Utah65.5F16.0 mph0.0 inNo

Quick Answers

Northern Illinois weather quick answers

Seasons

2,013-2,025

Weather delta

1.98

Games in scope
149
Neutral avg points
26.89
Adverse avg points
28.88
Top outlier
Cold (36.11)