Weather

Michigan State Weather Splits

Weather-driven scoring, style, and upset shifts.

Spartan Stadium • East Lansing • MI

Big TenSpartan Stadium

Team games analyzed

149

Neutral avg points

25.4

Adverse avg points

25.9

Weather delta

0.4

Weather context

Michigan State performance by game conditions

Weather can change scoring, pace, passing volume, and upset risk. This tab compares Michigan Stategames against FBS baselines across temperature, wind, rain, snow, and other adverse-condition buckets.

The current model analyzes 149 team games, with a neutral scoring average of 25.4 points and an adverse-weather average of 25.9 points. Use the game table to inspect the exact scenarios behind those splits.

Team vs FBS by Temperature

Compares this team's scoring at each temperature range against the broader FBS baseline.

Pass/Rush Shift in Weather Conditions

Shows how the offense leans toward the pass or run as conditions get wetter or windier.

Upset Profile by Scenario

Estimates how often this team gets tagged with an upset in each weather scenario sample.

Adverse Weather Outliers

Calls out the strongest and weakest game outputs relative to the team's neutral-weather baseline.

Best adverse-weather performance

2014 vs Eastern Michigan: 47.6 points vs neutral baseline

Toughest adverse-weather performance

2020 vs Indiana: -25.4 points vs neutral baseline

Game-Level Adverse Weather Deltas

Lists each adverse-weather game with sortable scoring deltas and the underlying conditions.

					Opponent	Temp	Wind	Precip	Upset
2014	4	Windy	73.0	47.6	Eastern Michigan	71.1F	20.8 mph	0.0 in	No
2015	13	Cold	55.0	29.6	Penn State	35.1F	7.0 mph	0.0 in	No
2022	2	Wet	52.0	26.6	Akron	84.9F	14.9 mph	0.0 in	No
2015	8	Windy	52.0	26.6	Indiana	69.1F	19.7 mph	0.0 in	No
2016	11	Cold	49.0	23.6	Rutgers	45.0F	9.2 mph	0.0 in	No
2021	5	Wet	48.0	22.6	Western Kentucky	66.2F	6.8 mph	0.0 in	No
2014	13	Cold	45.0	19.6	Rutgers	37.9F	12.7 mph	0.0 in	No
2013	9	Windy	42.0	16.6	Illinois	61.0F	20.8 mph	0.0 in	No
2013	12	Windy	41.0	15.6	Nebraska	63.9F	16.1 mph	0.0 in	No
2021	11	Cold	40.0	14.6	Maryland	39.2F	12.4 mph	0.0 in	No
2016	7	Windy	40.0	14.6	Northwestern	66.9F	15.0 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2021	3	Wet	38.0	12.6	Miami	89.6F	3.7 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2021	1	Wet	38.0	12.6	Northwestern	71.8F	6.8 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2018	1	Wet	38.0	12.6	Utah State	79.3F	8.0 mph	0.0 in	No
2014	12	Cold	37.0	11.6	Maryland	30.0F	0.0 mph	0.0 in	No
2014	11	Cold	37.0	11.6	Ohio State	37.9F	7.0 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2015	3	Windy	35.0	9.6	Air Force	63.0F	17.2 mph	0.0 in	No
2014	9	Windy	35.0	9.6	Michigan	66.9F	20.8 mph	0.0 in	No
2019	11	Cold	34.0	8.6	Illinois	42.3F	11.4 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2014	14	Cold	34.0	8.6	Penn State	33.8F	7.0 mph	0.0 in	No
2022	12	Windy	31.0	5.6	Indiana	24.8F	27.3 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2021	6	Wet	31.0	5.6	Rutgers	68.0F	9.3 mph	0.0 in	No
2019	4	Wet	31.0	5.6	Northwestern	75.7F	17.3 mph	0.0 in	No
2017	9	Cold	31.0	5.6	Northwestern	41.0F	11.4 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2021	13	Cold	30.0	4.6	Penn State	28.4F	9.3 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2017	7	Wet	30.0	4.6	Minnesota	50.0F	19.7 mph	0.0 in	No
2013	13	Windy	30.0	4.6	Northwestern	23.0F	16.1 mph	0.0 in	No
2013	10	Cold	29.0	3.6	Michigan	45.0F	11.4 mph	0.0 in	No
2022	3	Windy	28.0	2.6	Washington	62.1F	22.4 mph	0.0 in	No
2025	6	Windy	27.0	1.6	Nebraska	88.0F	25.5 mph	0.0 in	No
2022	11	Cold	27.0	1.6	Rutgers	39.9F	12.7 mph	0.0 in	No
2020	8	Cold	27.0	1.6	Rutgers	43.0F	7.8 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2020	9	Cold	27.0	1.6	Michigan	43.9F	13.6 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2019	13	Cold	27.0	1.6	Rutgers	42.6F	4.7 mph	0.0 in	No
2017	10	Cold	27.0	1.6	Penn State	41.0F	12.7 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2015	7	Cold	27.0	1.6	Michigan	45.0F	12.7 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2014	6	Cold	27.0	1.6	Nebraska	41.0F	0.0 mph	0.0 in	No
2024	13	Cold	24.0	-1.4	Purdue	42.8F	13.7 mph	0.0 in	No
2023	7	Wet	24.0	-1.4	Rutgers	51.8F	3.7 mph	0.1 in	No
2020	15	Cold	24.0	-1.4	Penn State	44.6F	3.0 mph	0.0 in	No
2018	10	Windy	24.0	-1.4	Maryland	56.3F	19.6 mph	0.0 in	No
2015	5	Windy	24.0	-1.4	Purdue	48.9F	19.7 mph	0.0 in	No
2015	11	Cold	24.0	-1.4	Maryland	45.0F	9.2 mph	0.0 in	No
2022	10	Windy	23.0	-2.4	Illinois	57.0F	29.8 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2018	9	Cold	23.0	-2.4	Purdue	44.1F	8.3 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2016	9	Windy	23.0	-2.4	Michigan	66.9F	17.2 mph	0.0 in	No
2025	9	Cold	20.0	-5.4	Michigan	44.1F	3.1 mph	0.0 in	No
2025	10	Cold	20.0	-5.4	Minnesota	43.2F	1.9 mph	0.0 in	No
2022	6	Windy	20.0	-5.4	Ohio State	53.1F	20.5 mph	0.0 in	No
2024	4	Wet	19.0	-6.4	Boston College	56.8F	11.8 mph	0.0 in	No
2019	14	Cold	19.0	-6.4	Maryland	36.1F	11.6 mph	0.0 in	No
2018	6	Wet	19.0	-6.4	Northwestern	67.1F	7.5 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2024	9	Cold	17.0	-8.4	Michigan	37.9F	0.0 mph	0.0 in	No
2017	12	Wet	17.0	-8.4	Maryland	39.9F	13.9 mph	0.0 in	No
2016	8	Windy	17.0	-8.4	Maryland	54.7F	16.1 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2016	12	Windy	16.0	-9.4	Ohio State	35.1F	23.1 mph	0.0 in	No
2024	14	Windy	14.0	-11.4	Rutgers	24.1F	15.0 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2017	6	Windy	14.0	-11.4	Michigan	78.1F	18.3 mph	0.0 in	Yes
2013	8	Cold	14.0	-11.4	Purdue	45.0F	7.0 mph	0.0 in	No
2013	14	Windy	14.0	-11.4	Minnesota	39.9F	15.0 mph	0.0 in	No
2023	9	Cold	12.0	-13.4	Minnesota	34.0F	5.6 mph	0.0 in	No
2020	14	Cold	12.0	-13.4	Ohio State	32.2F	5.2 mph	0.0 in	No
2016	13	Cold	12.0	-13.4	Penn State	39.2F	11.4 mph	0.0 in	No
2019	12	Cold	10.0	-15.4	Michigan	32.0F	7.0 mph	0.0 in	No
2022	9	Cold	7.0	-18.4	Michigan	44.6F	3.7 mph	0.0 in	No
2020	10	Windy	7.0	-18.4	Iowa	66.0F	16.7 mph	0.0 in	No
2018	8	Wet	7.0	-18.4	Michigan	52.2F	14.2 mph	0.0 in	No
2018	11	Wet	6.0	-19.4	Ohio State	34.0F	11.1 mph	0.0 in	No
2018	12	Windy	6.0	-19.4	Nebraska	25.3F	23.1 mph	0.0 in	—
2023	11	Cold	3.0	-22.4	Ohio State	38.7F	5.8 mph	0.0 in	No
2017	11	Cold	3.0	-22.4	Ohio State	33.1F	5.8 mph	0.0 in	No
2023	8	Cold	0.0	-25.4	Michigan	45.0F	8.1 mph	0.0 in	No
2020	11	Cold	0.0	-25.4	Indiana	38.8F	8.8 mph	0.0 in	No

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