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Toledo at Kentucky

Aug 30, 2025 • Completed

Season 2025RegularWeek 1

Away

Toledo

Mid-American

Final Score

16 - 24

TK

Home

Kentucky

SEC

Game Pulse

Immediate edge indicators from the box score.

Total Yards

Kentucky305
Toledo329

Passing Yards

Kentucky85
Toledo270

Rushing Yards

Kentucky220
Toledo59

Turnovers

Kentucky2
Toledo1

Game Conditions

Temperature72°F
Wind9 mph NE

Venue

Kroger Field

Lexington, KY

Humidity

37%

Precipitation

0.00 in

Win Probability

Home win probability over the play sequence.

Key Swings

Play 126

+17.4%

Dante Dowdell run for 79 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK)

Toledo possession1 & 10

Play 44

-15.8%

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Terrell Crosby Jr.

Toledo possession1 & 10

Play 125

-15.4%

Tucker Gleason run for 9 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)

Toledo possession3 & 2

Play 16

+14.3%

Zach Calzada run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK)

Toledo possession3 & 1

Play 9

+12.8%

Dante Dowdell run for 5 yds to the TOL 24

Kentucky possession1 & 10

Advanced Box Snapshot

Excitement

4.65

Postgame Win Probability

Kentucky: 100.0%

Toledo: 0.0%

Player Game Leaders

Top individual performers and full player box data.

Passing

Tucker Gleason

Toledo

YDS: 270

Rushing

Dante Dowdell

Kentucky

YDS: 129

Receiving

Junior Vandeross

Toledo

YDS: 88

Tackles

Alex Afari Jr.

Kentucky

TOT: 13

Full Player Box

Box Score Comparison

Possession Split

Kentucky31:41
Toledo28:19

Stat Dominance

Team comparison across key performance areas

Game Story

Kentucky holds off Toledo 24-16

Standard

Kentucky defeated Toledo 24-16 in Week 1 of the 2025 regular slate, finishing with a 305-329 edge in total yards, and scoring 0 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing touchdowns.

Kentucky set the terms early in a game that finished 24-16. Zach Calzada run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK) came with 6:27 left in the first quarter, giving Kentucky the first major swing.

Kentucky's box score carried the story: 305 total yards, 220 rushing yards, and 85 passing yards. Toledo finished with 329 total yards, including 59 on the ground and 270 through the air.

Kentucky converted 8-15 on third down, went 0-0 on fourth down, the turnover count was 2-1, Kentucky led 10-2 at halftime. The explosive highlight was Dante Dowdell run for 79 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK).

Key Moments

  • Rushing Touchdown

    Zach Calzada run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK) (Kentucky led 7-0 over Toledo).

  • Field Goal Good

    Jacob Kauwe 45 yd FG GOOD (Kentucky led 10-2 over Toledo).

  • Safety

    Langston Long Safety (Kentucky led 7-2 over Toledo).

  • Rushing Touchdown

    Tucker Gleason run for 9 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK) (Toledo led 9-17 over Kentucky).

  • Rushing Touchdown

    Dante Dowdell run for 79 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK) (Kentucky led 24-9 over Toledo).

  • Rushing Touchdown

    Seth McGowan run for 6 yds for a TD (Jacob Kauwe KICK) (Kentucky led 17-2 over Toledo).

Stat Callouts

  • Final score

    24-16

    Kentucky defeated Toledo.

  • Total yards

    305-329

    Kentucky held the yardage advantage.

  • Rushing yards

    220

    Kentucky averaged 5.1 yards per rush attempt.

  • Passing yards

    85

    Kentucky averaged 3.7 yards per pass attempt.

  • Third downs

    8-15

    Kentucky's conversion rate helped sustain possessions.

  • Opponent third downs

    7-17

    Toledo's offense struggled to keep drives alive.

  • Turnovers

    2-1

    Turnover totals are listed winner first.

Analysis

Game Breakdown

StatisticKentuckyToledo
Total Yards305329
Passing Yards85270
Rushing Yards22059
First Downs1717
Third Down Efficiency8-157-17
Fourth Down Efficiency0-01-4
Total Penalties (Yards)3-3011-93
Turnovers21
Completions / Attempts10-2323-40
Rushing Attempts4329
Passing TDs01
Rushing TDs31
Kicking Points62
Possession Time31:4128:19
Data sourced from NCAA game stats archive (2025)