Advanced Metrics

What is Predicted Points Added (PPA) in college football?

PPA

In college football, Predicted Points Added means: CFBD's points-based efficiency value per play, commonly abbreviated PPA. It is commonly calculated as Average play-level PPA for per-play team metrics.

Quick Answer

In college football, Predicted Points Added means: CFBD's points-based efficiency value per play, commonly abbreviated PPA. It is commonly calculated as Average play-level PPA for per-play team metrics.

Definition

Predicted Points Added is CFBD's source-provided points-based efficiency value. CFBTrack uses the published CFBD advanced-stat aggregates such as average PPA per play and total PPA; it does not recreate the underlying play-level model.

Formula

Average play-level PPA for per-play team metrics

Example

A positive offensive average PPA means the offense is adding points-based value per play on average.

How to Interpret It

Read PPA directionally as an efficiency metric. Higher offensive PPA is better, while lower defensive PPA allowed is usually better.

Common Comparisons

PPA vs EPA

Both are points-based efficiency ideas. PPA is the CFBD-provided predicted-points value CFBTrack consumes, while EPA is commonly described as the change in expected points before and after a play.

How CFB Track Uses It

CFBTrack displays CFBD-provided PPA fields in advanced team stats and uses glossary context to clarify that the underlying play-level model is source-provided.

Caveats

  • The play-level PPA model is source-provided by CFBD; CFBTrack verifies mapping, aggregation scale, and display.

Last reviewed 2026-04-24